Nolan McLean projection

Nolan McLean (RHP, NYM) projects to strike out 26.4% of batters, walk or hit 10.9% and allow home runs to 2.60%, working about 5.7 innings per start.

2026 season: 31 starts, 179.7 innings, 194 strikeouts, 85 walks + HBP, 17 home runs.

2025 Statcast: xwOBA allowed 0.294, CSW 31.8%.

Whiff rate 28.4%, barrels allowed 8%, hard-hit rate 43.4%. Projections are regressed toward league average by sample size (1121 batters faced in the weighted sample), so small samples move less.

Recent starts

DateInningsPitches
2026-09-23782
2026-09-17682
2026-09-115101
2026-09-046105
2026-08-29793

Runs allowed per nine innings this season: 3.76. How these numbers feed each game projection is explained on the methodology page, and how to read a pitcher projection explains each number above.

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