Chase Burns projection
Chase Burns (RHP, CIN) projects to strike out 30.0% of batters, walk or hit 9.1% and allow home runs to 2.90%, working about 4.5 innings per start.
2026 season: 29 starts, 154.3 innings, 185 strikeouts, 57 walks + HBP, 17 home runs.
2025 Statcast: xwOBA allowed 0.29, CSW 27.712%.
Whiff rate 31.9%, barrels allowed 9.5%, hard-hit rate 45.7%. Projections are regressed toward league average by sample size (980 batters faced in the weighted sample), so small samples move less.
Recent starts
| Date | Innings | Pitches |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | 3 | 67 |
| 2026-09-13 | 3 | 56 |
| 2026-09-07 | 3 | 44 |
| 2026-08-30 | 5.7 | 100 |
| 2026-08-24 | 3.7 | 64 |
Runs allowed per nine innings this season: 3.15. How these numbers feed each game projection is explained on the methodology page, and how to read a pitcher projection explains each number above.
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