Chase Petty projection

Chase Petty (RHP, CIN) projects to strike out 14.5% of batters, walk or hit 10.6% and allow home runs to 3.40%, working about 4.5 innings per start.

2026 season: 3 starts, 31.7 innings, 15 strikeouts, 12 walks + HBP, 6 home runs.

2025 Statcast: xwOBA allowed 0.471, CSW 27.219%.

Whiff rate 34.7%, barrels allowed 12.5%, hard-hit rate 41.7%. Projections are regressed toward league average by sample size (213 batters faced in the weighted sample), so small samples move less.

Recent starts

DateInningsPitches
2026-08-071.738
2026-05-23562
2026-05-045.775

Runs allowed per nine innings this season: 5.4. How these numbers feed each game projection is explained on the methodology page, and how to read a pitcher projection explains each number above.

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