Ryan Johnson projection

Ryan Johnson (RHP, LAA) projects to strike out 18.9% of batters, walk or hit 10.2% and allow home runs to 3.50%, working about 5.2 innings per start.

2026 season: 19 starts, 100 innings, 79 strikeouts, 48 walks + HBP, 18 home runs.

2025 Statcast: xwOBA allowed 0.293, CSW 28.467%.

Whiff rate 27.7%, barrels allowed 7.8%, hard-hit rate 35.3%. Projections are regressed toward league average by sample size (618 batters faced in the weighted sample), so small samples move less.

Recent starts

DateInningsPitches
2026-09-26586
2026-09-204.791
2026-09-15690
2026-09-096103
2026-09-04689

Runs allowed per nine innings this season: 5.49. How these numbers feed each game projection is explained on the methodology page, and how to read a pitcher projection explains each number above.

BullpenEdge publishes MLB statistics and model projections for analysis and entertainment. Projections are estimates, can be wrong, and are not advice of any kind. Not affiliated with Major League Baseball. See the Disclaimer and Methodology.