Parker Messick projection
Parker Messick (LHP, CLE) projects to strike out 25.5% of batters, walk or hit 7.2% and allow home runs to 2.70%, working about 4.8 innings per start.
2026 season: 34 starts, 193 innings, 204 strikeouts, 57 walks + HBP, 18 home runs.
2025 Statcast: xwOBA allowed 0.274, CSW 31.04%.
Whiff rate 26%, barrels allowed 5.8%, hard-hit rate 29.8%. Projections are regressed toward league average by sample size (1137 batters faced in the weighted sample), so small samples move less.
Recent starts
| Date | Innings | Pitches |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | 2.3 | 65 |
| 2026-10-03 | 4.3 | 87 |
| 2026-09-27 | 3 | 64 |
| 2026-09-22 | 5 | 96 |
| 2026-09-16 | 6 | 86 |
Runs allowed per nine innings this season: 2.84. How these numbers feed each game projection is explained on the methodology page, and how to read a pitcher projection explains each number above.
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