Payton Tolle projection
Payton Tolle (LHP, BOS) projects to strike out 27.5% of batters, walk or hit 8.0% and allow home runs to 2.90%, working about 5.4 innings per start.
2026 season: 27 starts, 153.3 innings, 175 strikeouts, 46 walks + HBP, 15 home runs.
2025 Statcast: xwOBA allowed 0.333, CSW 25%.
Whiff rate 30.1%, barrels allowed 6.4%, hard-hit rate 38.3%. Projections are regressed toward league average by sample size (852 batters faced in the weighted sample), so small samples move less.
Recent starts
| Date | Innings | Pitches |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | 4.7 | 83 |
| 2026-09-22 | 5.7 | 91 |
| 2026-09-13 | 6 | 96 |
| 2026-09-06 | 6 | 91 |
| 2026-08-31 | 5.7 | 96 |
Runs allowed per nine innings this season: 3.23. How these numbers feed each game projection is explained on the methodology page, and how to read a pitcher projection explains each number above.
BullpenEdge publishes MLB statistics and model projections for analysis and entertainment. Projections are estimates, can be wrong, and are not advice of any kind. Not affiliated with Major League Baseball. See the Disclaimer and Methodology.