Matchup analysis
Our model projects UFTL 38, Chicago State 20 at SeatGeek Stadium in Week 9. That is a heavy edge: UFTL wins about 85% of the time by our estimate, with a projected margin of 18 points and 57.1 combined points. Tags: favorite holds.
UFTL has not played a game yet this season, so its number leans on last year's results. Chicago State is 1-7 against the 134th-toughest schedule so far, scoring 24.4 and allowing 38.8 points per game (-14.4 per game).
College football is noisy: even a well-rated projection misses the final margin by about 14 points on average. Based on how real results have scattered around our numbers, the final margin should land somewhere between UFTL by 41 and Chicago State by 5 about 80% of the time.
Chicago State gets about 2.1 points for playing at home. UFTL is still favoured on the road, so the ratings gap is bigger than the value of playing at home.
Market lines
Market lines · Source: The Odds API, ESPN, Action Network · Updated Oct 29, 11:25 AM UTC. Shown for information; not an input to our projections.
No market line has been posted for this game yet.
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More: UFTL schedule · Chicago State schedule · all Week 9 projections
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Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
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