Matchup analysis
Before kickoff our model projected Furman 29.8, Anderson (SC) 25.2 at Paladin Stadium in Week 1. That is a lean: Furman wins about 62% of the time by our estimate, with a projected margin of 4.6 points and 55 combined points. Tags: upset alert.
Anderson (SC) has not played a game yet this season, so its number leans on last year's results. Furman has not played a game yet this season, so its number leans on last year's results.
College football is noisy: even a well-rated projection misses the final margin by about 14 points on average. Based on how real results have scattered around our numbers, the final margin should land somewhere between Anderson (SC) by 18 and Furman by 27 about 80% of the time.
Furman gets about 2.1 points for playing at home. Even on a neutral field the ratings would still favour Furman by about 2.5. The game is on ESPN+.
Result: Anderson (SC) 3, Furman 20. The model had the right winner; the margin was off by 12.4 points and the total by 32.
Market lines
Market lines · Source: The Odds API, ESPN, Action Network · Updated Oct 29, 9:25 AM UTC. Shown for information; not an input to our projections.
No market line has been posted for this game yet.
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Original projection vs new formula
| Projection | Score | Win prob | Margin miss | Total miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Original projection | Anderson (SC) 25.2, Furman 29.8 | Furman 62%right winner | 12.4 | 32.0 |
| New formula | Anderson (SC) 23.9, Furman 29.8 | Furman 64%right winner | 11.0 | 30.7 |
Final: Anderson (SC) 3, Furman 20. Original = the number we posted before kickoff. New formula (2026-10-21 matchup terms) = the current model re-run with only the games played before this one.
More: Anderson (SC) schedule · Furman schedule · all Week 1 projections
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Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
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