2026 schedule
Furman Paladins
2026 season so far
Furman is 2-6 against the 20th-toughest schedule so far, scoring 15.1 and allowing 21.3 points per game (-6.2 per game).
Furman plays below the FBS level, so its projections against FBS opponents include the measured gap between divisions.
Next up: vs Western Carolina in Week 9. We project Furman 24, Western Carolina 29 — Furman wins 38% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
12 gamesMarket lines · Source: The Odds API, ESPN, Action Network · Updated Oct 29, 9:25 AM UTC. Shown for information; not an input to our projections.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
- vs
Anderson (SC) Trojans
0-1 · SOS #123
Win 20-3
Week 1
Our number· pregame
Furman by 4.6
Total 55
Book line
Not posted
Final Furman by 17. 23 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Paladin Stadium - at
#20 Tennessee Volunteers
1-0 · SOS #25
Loss 9-56
Week 1
Our number· pregame
Tennessee by 40.4
Total 62.8
DraftKings
TENN -49.5
Total 66.5
Final Tennessee by 47. Furman beat the spread. 65 points — under the 66.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Tennessee -49.25 (open Tennessee -47.25) · O/U 66.5 · model vs market -8.8 pts (Tennessee view)
SECN+ Neyland Stadium - at
Mercer Bears
2-1 · SOS #130
Win 20-13
Week 2
Our number· pregame
Mercer by 10.6
Total 53.8
DraftKings
MER -15.5
Total 54.5
Final Furman by 7. Furman beat the spread. 33 points — under the 54.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Mercer -15.5 · O/U 54.5 · ML +406 / -590 · Mercer 81% no-vig · model vs market -4.9 pts, -6 pct pts (Mercer view)
ESPN+ Five Star Stadium - vs
South Carolina State Bulldogs
4-0 · SOS #155
Loss 17-20
Week 3
Our number· pregame
South Carolina State by 4.3
Total 49.9
DraftKings
SCST -4.5
Total 46.5
Final South Carolina State by 3. Furman beat the spread. 37 points — under the 46.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: South Carolina State -4.5 (open South Carolina State -10) · O/U 46.5 (open 48.5) · ML -225 / +177 · Furman 34% no-vig · model vs market +0.2 pts, +5 pct pts (Furman view)
ESPN+ Paladin Stadium - at
Richmond Spiders
4-1 · SOS #129
Loss 9-13
Week 4
Our number· pregame
Furman by 0.6
Total 46.8
DraftKings
RICH -3.5
Total 43.5
Final Richmond by 4. Richmond beat the spread. 22 points — under the 43.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Richmond -3.5 · O/U 43.5 (open 45.5) · ML +108 / -135 · Richmond 54% no-vig · model vs market -4.1 pts, -6 pct pts (Richmond view)
ESPN+ Robins Stadium - vs
Wofford Terriers
3-3 · SOS #120
Loss 25-32
Week 5
Our number· pregame
Furman by 3.2
Total 42.6
DraftKings
FUR -4
Total 44.5
Final Wofford by 7. Wofford beat the spread. 57 points — over the 44.5. Our number was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Furman -4 (open Furman -4.5) · O/U 44.5 · ML +149 / -188 · Furman 62% no-vig · model vs market -0.8 pts, -4 pct pts (Furman view)
ESPN+ Paladin Stadium - at
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles
5-1 · SOS #94
Loss 15-20
Week 6
Our number· pregame
Tennessee Tech by 16.3
Total 49.9
DraftKings
TNTC -13.5
Total 44.5
Final Tennessee Tech by 5. Furman beat the spread. 35 points — under the 44.5. The book was closer. The book's total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Tennessee Tech -13.5 · O/U 44.5 (open 45.5) · ML +397 / -573 · Tennessee Tech 81% no-vig · model vs market +2.8 pts, +5 pct pts (Tennessee Tech view)
ESPN+ Tucker Stadium - vs
Samford Bulldogs
2-6 · SOS #80
Loss 6-13
Week 8
Our number· pregame
Furman by 6.8
Total 44.2
Book line
Not posted
Final Samford by 7. 19 points. No book line was saved for this game.
ESPN+ Paladin Stadium - vs
Western Carolina Catamounts
3-5 · SOS #27
Sat, Oct 31, 6:00 PM
Week 9
Proj 24-29 · 38%
Our number
Western Carolina by 5
Total 53
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Paladin Stadium - at
The Citadel Bulldogs
2-6 · SOS #10
Sat, Nov 7, 7:00 PM
Week 10
Proj 22-22 · 49%
Our number
dead even
Total 44
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Johnson Hagood Stadium - vs
Chattanooga Mocs
5-3 · SOS #87
Sat, Nov 14, 6:00 PM
Week 11
Proj 16-23 · 33%
Our number
Chattanooga by 7
Total 39
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Paladin Stadium - at
VMI Keydets
0-8 · SOS #71
Sat, Nov 21, 5:00 PM
Week 12
Proj 35-9 · 95%
Our number
Furman by 26
Total 44
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Foster Stadium
Times shown in your local time
Furman Paladins stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
-24.7
Adj. offense
10.8
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
35.6
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 15.1 | — |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 21.3 | — |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 4.71 | — |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 5.56 | — |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 139.9 | — |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 175.4 | — |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 145.9 | — |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 223.8 | — |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 1.13 | — |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 1.25 | — |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 1.63 | — |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 2.63 | — |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | -0.11 | — |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | -0.12 | — |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 36.1% | — |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 38.9% | — |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 10.2% | — |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 10.2% | — |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 16.1% | — |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 15.4% | — |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 1.84 | — |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 2.83 | — |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | opp 10 | — |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | opp 8 | — |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 66.9 | — |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | -0.09 | — |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | -0.13 | — |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | -0.14 | — |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | -0.10 | — |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 32.5% | — |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 36.0% | — |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 20.7% | — |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 24.8% | — |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 26.9% | — |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 25.2% | — |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 31.2% | — |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 28.7% | — |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 49.7% | — |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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