Baltimore Orioles: projections & ratings
American League East · Home park: Oriole Park at Camden Yards (run environment +0.6%)
Ratings
Baltimore Orioles: 4.46 runs scored and 4.59 allowed per game over 161 games. Offense rating -0.11 runs per game versus league (regressed); run prevention +0.23 (negative is better).
- vs left-handed pitching: -6 pts wOBA against its own average
- vs right-handed pitching: +3 pts
- Defense (Outs Above Average, last season): -24
- Bullpen rested: 100% (0 weighted pitches over three days)
Schedule: recent results
- Friday, September 25, 2026: BAL @ NYY — BAL 3 – 6 NYY · Final. Brandon Young vs Ryan Yarbrough; projected BAL 4.0–4.7 NYY, 8.7 runs, NYY 60% to win.
- Friday, September 25, 2026: BAL @ NYY — BAL 10 – 2 NYY · Final. Trevor Rogers vs Brendan Beck; projected BAL 4.5–4.3 NYY, 8.8 runs, NYY 51% to win.
Most recent lineup
- Dylan Beavers (bats L) — projected wOBA 0.311
- Pete Alonso (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.356
- Coby Mayo (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.311
- Jeremiah Jackson (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.296
- Leody Taveras (bats S) — projected wOBA 0.286
- Rece Hinds (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.29
- Christian Franklin (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.301
- Yohel Pozo (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.293
- José Barrero (bats R) — projected wOBA 0.294
Bullpen workload
- Félix Bautista: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +11.6 pts
- Andrew Kittredge: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +4.4 pts
- Rico Garcia: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +4.2 pts
- Grant Wolfram: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +3.3 pts
- Anthony Nunez: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +2.2 pts
- Yennier Cano: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +1.1 pts
- Alex Hoppe: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +1.1 pts
- Josh Walker: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league +0.8 pts
- Cam Sanders: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -0.2 pts
- Luis De León: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -1.3 pts
- Albert Suárez: 0 / 0 / 0 pitches over the last three days; K−BB vs league -2.0 pts
Rotation projections
| Pitcher | GS | Proj. K% | Proj. BB% | Exp. IP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Baz | 31 | 21.9% | 9.7% | 5.4 |
| Trevor Rogers | 30 | 21.5% | 8.0% | 5.7 |
| Kyle Bradish | 29 | 24.4% | 9.9% | 4.8 |
| Brandon Young | 28 | 19.7% | 9.6% | 5.3 |
| Chris Bassitt | 18 | 20.9% | 9.9% | 5.3 |
| Trey Gibson | 8 | 20.5% | 12.8% | 4.8 |
| Cade Povich | 7 | 21.4% | 9.8% | 4.7 |
| Keegan Akin | 2 | 23.5% | 9.2% | 3.5 |
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not advice of any kind and nothing here guarantees any result. How the numbers are made: Methodology · how they have done: Track record.
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