2026 schedule
Cornell Big Red
2026 season so far
Cornell is 3-3 against the 44th-toughest schedule so far, scoring 31.3 and allowing 29.3 points per game (+2 per game).
Cornell plays below the FBS level, so its projections against FBS opponents include the measured gap between divisions.
Next up: at Princeton in Week 9. We project Cornell 25, Princeton 26 — Cornell wins 46% of the time.
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Regular season
10 gamesMarket lines · Source: The Odds API, ESPN, Action Network · Updated Oct 29, 11:25 AM UTC. Shown for information; not an input to our projections.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
- at
Colgate Raiders
3-1 · SOS #84
Loss 7-20
Week 3
Our number· pregame
Colgate by 12
Total 48
DraftKings
COLG -12.5
Total 50.5
Final Colgate by 13. Colgate beat the spread. 27 points — under the 50.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
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Market lines: Colgate -12.5 · O/U 50.5 (open 52.5) · ML +384 / -551 · Colgate 80% no-vig · model vs market -0.5 pts, -2 pct pts (Colgate view)
ESPN+ Andy Kerr StadiumPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedLeans low scoringLeans low scoring: Record 83 hits, 105 misses (44% hit rate) over 188 graded gamesLeans low scoring: hit - vs
Yale Bulldogs
1-1 · SOS #83
Win 38-25
Week 4
Our number· pregame
Yale by 5.6
Total 54.6
DraftKings
YALE -14
Total 48.5
Final Cornell by 13. Cornell beat the spread. 63 points — over the 48.5. Our number was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Yale -14 (open Yale -15.5) · O/U 48.5 (open 49.5) · ML -376 / +280 · Cornell 25% no-vig · model vs market +8.4 pts, +11 pct pts (Cornell view)
Game-time weather: Mostly cloudy, 63°F, Wind 14 mph NNW.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KITH)ESPN+ Schoellkopf Field - at
Georgetown Hoyas
0-4 · SOS #121
Win 35-14
Week 5
Our number· pregame
Cornell by 4.6
Total 50
DraftKings
COR -8.5
Total 45.5
Final Cornell by 21. Cornell beat the spread. 49 points — over the 45.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
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Market lines: Cornell -8.5 (open Cornell -7.5) · O/U 45.5 · ML -285 / +220 · Georgetown 30% no-vig · model vs market +3.9 pts, +9 pct pts (Georgetown view)
Game-time weather: Cloudy, 63°F, Wind calm.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KDCA)ESPN+ Cooper FieldPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedUpset alertUpset alert: Record 68 hits, 143 misses (32% hit rate) over 211 graded gamesUpset alert: missedLow Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded games - vs
Harvard Crimson
4-0 · SOS #100
Loss 29-41
Week 6
Our number· pregame
Harvard by 5.2
Total 49.8
DraftKings
HARV -7
Total 41.5
Final Harvard by 12. Harvard beat the spread. 70 points — over the 41.5. The book was closer. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Harvard -7 · O/U 41.5 · ML -249 / +194 · Cornell 32% no-vig · model vs market +1.8 pts, +4 pct pts (Cornell view)
Game-time weather: 64°F, Wind 6 mph S.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KITH)ESPN+ Schoellkopf FieldPregame calls · how each did
ExpectedUpset alertUpset alert: Record 68 hits, 143 misses (32% hit rate) over 211 graded gamesUpset alert: missedLow Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded gamesUpset WatchUpset Watch: Record 45 hits, 133 misses (25% hit rate) over 178 graded gamesUpset Watch: missed - vs
Lehigh Mountain Hawks
6-1 · SOS #131
Win 48-38
Week 7
Our number· pregame
Lehigh by 11.5
Total 50.3
DraftKings
LEH -11.5
Total 46.5
Final Cornell by 10. Cornell beat the spread. 86 points — over the 46.5. Our number and the book's were equally close. Our total was closer.
21+ only where legal. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market lines: Lehigh -11.5 · O/U 46.5 · ML -435 / +317 · Cornell 23% no-vig · model vs market 0.0 pts, -0 pct pts (Cornell view)
Game-time weather: Mostly cloudy, 45°F.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KITH)ESPN+ Schoellkopf Field - at
Brown Bears
3-3 · SOS #81
Loss 31-38
Week 8
Our number· pregame
Cornell by 0.6
Total 50.2
Book line
Not posted
Final Brown by 7. 69 points. No book line was saved for this game.
Game-time weather: Partly cloudy, 57°F, Wind 5 mph SW.Observed during the game · National Weather Service (KPVD)ESPN+ Brown Stadium (RI)Pregame calls · how each did
ExpectedCoin flipCoin flip: Record 86 hits, 94 misses (48% hit rate) over 180 graded gamesCoin flip: hit - at
Princeton Tigers
4-2 · SOS #128
Sat, Oct 31, 4:00 PM
Week 9
Proj 25-26 · 46%
Our number
Princeton by 1
Total 51
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
Kickoff forecast: Mostly sunny, 57°F, Wind 5 mph N, 0% rain.Kickoff forecast · National Weather Service, updated Oct 29, 2:38 AM EDTESPN+ Princeton StadiumExpectedCoin flipCoin flip: Record 86 hits, 94 misses (48% hit rate) over 180 graded games - vs
Pennsylvania Quakers
3-3 · SOS #97
Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 PM
Week 10
Proj 29-24 · 64%
Our number
Cornell by 5
Total 53
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Schoellkopf FieldExpectedUpset alertUpset alert: Record 68 hits, 143 misses (32% hit rate) over 211 graded games - vs
Dartmouth Big Green
3-3 · SOS #51
Sat, Nov 14, 6:00 PM
Week 11
Proj 28-26 · 55%
Our number
Cornell by 2
Total 54
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Schoellkopf FieldExpectedCoin flipCoin flip: Record 86 hits, 94 misses (48% hit rate) over 180 graded games - at
Columbia Lions
4-2 · SOS #119
Sat, Nov 21, 5:00 PM
Week 12
Proj 31-26 · 64%
Our number
Cornell by 5
Total 57
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
ESPN+ Lawrence A. Wien StadiumExpectedUpset alertUpset alert: Record 68 hits, 143 misses (32% hit rate) over 211 graded games
Times shown in your local time
Cornell Big Red stats: basic, advanced and situational
Power rating
-18.4
Adj. offense
19.5
pts vs avg defense
Adj. defense
37.9
pts allowed vs avg offense
Basic stats
Box-score numbers per game.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per gameEvery point scored, every game. | 31.3 | — |
| Points allowed per gameEvery point conceded, every game. | 29.3 | — |
| Yards per playScrimmage yards divided by scrimmage plays (sacks count as pass plays). | 6.20 | — |
| Yards per play allowedThe same measure for opponents. | 5.50 | — |
| Rushing yards per gameDesigned runs and scrambles. | 169.7 | — |
| Net passing yards per gamePassing yards minus sack yardage. | 246.5 | — |
| Rushing yards allowed per gameOpponents' rushing yards. | 152.7 | — |
| Net passing yards allowed per gameOpponents' net passing yards. | 244.5 | — |
| Turnovers per gameInterceptions thrown and fumbles lost. | 1.17 | — |
| Takeaways per gameInterceptions and fumble recoveries. | 1.50 | — |
| Sacks per gameSacks by this defense. | 3.00 | — |
| Sacks allowed per gameSacks taken by this offense. | 0.67 | — |
Advanced stats
Efficiency from play-by-play, garbage time removed: expected points added (EPA), success rate, explosiveness, havoc, finishing drives, field position and pace.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| EPA per playExpected points added per snap, garbage time removed. Zero is average; +0.10 is very good. | +0.10 | — |
| EPA per play allowedExpected points the defense gives up per snap. Lower is better. | +0.09 | — |
| Success rateShare of plays that stay on schedule: 50% of the distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, all of it on 3rd and 4th. | 43.0% | — |
| Success rate allowedOpponents' success rate. | 41.1% | — |
| Explosive play rateRuns of 12+ yards and passes of 16+ yards, as a share of plays. | 15.1% | — |
| Explosive plays allowedThe same rate for opponents. | 12.0% | — |
| Havoc rateShare of snaps with a tackle for loss, sack, forced fumble, interception or pass break-up. | 14.3% | — |
| Havoc allowedHow often this offense suffers a havoc play. | 14.4% | — |
| Points per scoring opportunityFinishing drives: points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40. | 0.00 | — |
| Points per opportunity allowedHow well the defense holds once opponents cross its 40. | 0.00 | — |
| Average starting field positionWhere this offense's drives begin, on average. | opp 0 | — |
| Opponents' starting field positionWhere opponents' drives begin. | opp 0 | — |
| Offensive plays per game (pace)Scrimmage snaps per game; a tempo measure. | 67.2 | — |
Situational stats
Run vs pass splits, passing downs, third downs and the red zone.
| Stat | 2026 | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|
| Rushing EPA per playExpected points added on runs. | +0.08 | — |
| Passing EPA per playExpected points added on dropbacks, sacks included. | +0.13 | — |
| Rushing EPA allowedRun defense, per play. | +0.07 | — |
| Passing EPA allowedPass defense, per dropback. | +0.11 | — |
| Rushing success rateShare of runs that stay on schedule. | 44.0% | — |
| Passing success rateShare of dropbacks that stay on schedule. | 40.2% | — |
| Run stuff rateRuns stopped at or behind the line. | 16.9% | — |
| Passing-down success rateSuccess on 2nd-and-8+ and 3rd/4th-and-5+. | 31.9% | — |
| Passing-down success allowedHow often opponents escape long-yardage downs. | 30.3% | — |
| Third-down conversion rateThird downs converted by the play itself. | 41.3% | — |
| Third-down rate allowedOpponents' third-down conversions. | 39.3% | — |
| Red-zone touchdown rateDrives reaching the 20 that end in a touchdown. | 0.0% | — |
| Red-zone TD rate allowedOpponents' red-zone touchdown rate. | 0.0% | — |
Power rating = projected margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field, from our opponent-adjusted efficiency model. How it works and how accurate it has been.
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