Week 14 College Football Projections (2026)
Updated Oct 29, 2026
Week 14 of the 2026 college football season has 10 FBS games on our board. The closest projected matchup is TBD at TBD (0-point margin), the highest projected total is TBD at TBD (51.5 points) and the lowest is TBD at TBD (51.5). 5 games are rated a toss-up (neither side above 58%).
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. They are not betting advice and nothing here guarantees any result.
Every FBS game
CSV download · Sports Pro- Fri, Dec 4 · TBD
TBD24
TBD28We project TBD 28-24, a 3.6-point margin with 51.5 total points; TBD wins 61% of the time.
ExpectedUpset alertUpset alert: Record 68 hits, 143 misses (32% hit rate) over 211 graded gamesLow Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded gamesOur number
TBD by 3.6
Total 51.5
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
TBD 61% · total 51.5Full preview → - Fri, Dec 4, 7:00 PM ESTESPNTBD24TBD28
We project TBD 28-24, a 3.6-point margin with 51.5 total points; TBD wins 61% of the time.
ExpectedUpset alertUpset alert: Record 68 hits, 143 misses (32% hit rate) over 211 graded gamesLow Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded gamesOur number
TBD by 3.6
Total 51.5
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
TBD 61% · total 51.5Full preview → - Fri, Dec 4, 8:00 PM ESTNeutral siteTBD26TBD26
We project TBD 26-26, a 0-point margin with 51.5 total points; TBD wins 50% of the time.
ExpectedCoin flipCoin flip: Record 86 hits, 94 misses (48% hit rate) over 180 graded gamesLow Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded gamesOur number
dead even
Total 51.5
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
TBD 50% · total 51.5Full preview → - Fri, Dec 4, 8:00 PM ESTCBSTBD24TBD28
We project TBD 28-24, a 3.6-point margin with 51.5 total points; TBD wins 61% of the time.
ExpectedUpset alertUpset alert: Record 68 hits, 143 misses (32% hit rate) over 211 graded gamesLow Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded gamesOur number
TBD by 3.6
Total 51.5
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
TBD 61% · total 51.5Full preview → - Fri, Dec 4, 9:00 PM ESTFoxTBD24TBD28
We project TBD 28-24, a 3.6-point margin with 51.5 total points; TBD wins 61% of the time.
ExpectedUpset alertUpset alert: Record 68 hits, 143 misses (32% hit rate) over 211 graded gamesLow Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded gamesOur number
TBD by 3.6
Total 51.5
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
TBD 61% · total 51.5Full preview →
- Sat, Dec 5, 12:00 PM ESTNeutral siteTBD26TBD26
We project TBD 26-26, a 0-point margin with 51.5 total points; TBD wins 50% of the time.
ExpectedCoin flipCoin flip: Record 86 hits, 94 misses (48% hit rate) over 180 graded gamesLow Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded gamesOur number
dead even
Total 51.5
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
TBD 50% · total 51.5Full preview → - Sat, Dec 5, 12:00 PM ESTNeutral siteTBD26TBD26
We project TBD 26-26, a 0-point margin with 51.5 total points; TBD wins 50% of the time.
ExpectedCoin flipCoin flip: Record 86 hits, 94 misses (48% hit rate) over 180 graded gamesLow Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded gamesOur number
dead even
Total 51.5
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
TBD 50% · total 51.5Full preview → - Sat, Dec 5, 4:00 PM ESTNeutral siteTBD26TBD26
We project TBD 26-26, a 0-point margin with 51.5 total points; TBD wins 50% of the time.
ExpectedCoin flipCoin flip: Record 86 hits, 94 misses (48% hit rate) over 180 graded gamesLow Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded gamesOur number
dead even
Total 51.5
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
TBD 50% · total 51.5Full preview → - Sat, Dec 5, 8:00 PM ESTABCTBD24TBD28
We project TBD 28-24, a 3.6-point margin with 51.5 total points; TBD wins 61% of the time.
ExpectedUpset alertUpset alert: Record 68 hits, 143 misses (32% hit rate) over 211 graded gamesLow Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded gamesOur number
TBD by 3.6
Total 51.5
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
TBD 61% · total 51.5Full preview → - Sat, Dec 5, 8:00 PM ESTNeutral siteTBD26TBD26
We project TBD 26-26, a 0-point margin with 51.5 total points; TBD wins 50% of the time.
ExpectedCoin flipCoin flip: Record 86 hits, 94 misses (48% hit rate) over 180 graded gamesLow Scoring AlertLow Scoring Alert: Record 82 hits, 72 misses (53% hit rate) over 154 graded gamesOur number
dead even
Total 51.5
Book line
Not posted
No book line posted yet.
TBD 50% · total 51.5Full preview →
How these numbers are made
Each team gets opponent-adjusted offense and defense ratings for points, expected points added per play and success rate, built from every snap of play-by-play with garbage time removed. Early in the season the ratings lean on a preseason prior (last two seasons, returning production, roster talent); every game played shifts them toward this year. A fitted model turns the rating gaps plus home field (about 2 points, more in the opening weeks) and rest into a margin and a total, and the margin into a calibrated win probability. See the methodology and track record and the season scorecard for how the model has actually done.
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