76ers vs Cavaliers Prediction, Projected Score & Pick
Philadelphia 76ers at Cleveland Cavaliers · Fri, Nov 6, 2026 · NBA Cup - Group Play
HoopVantage's Nov 6, 2026 prediction: Cleveland Cavaliers over the 76ers by 2.9 points, a 60% win probability, with a projected final of 76ers 113, Cavaliers 116 (total 228.8). Against the spread the model leans Cavaliers -1.5: its margin is 1.4 points more favourable to Cavaliers than the market's. On the total the model leans under 234.5 (projection 228.8).
The model projects Cleveland Cavaliers to win by 2.9 points (60% win probability), projected score CLE 116, PHI 113, total 228.8 (80% range 205–252). The largest driver is rest, travel & altitude (1.0 points toward CLE).
Matchup
Philadelphia 76ers rank 13 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (+1.7 points against an average opponent, about 47 projected wins in 2026-27); Cleveland Cavaliers rank 7 (+3.0, about 49 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 1.3 points to Cleveland Cavaliers; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 2.9-point margin above. A 60% win probability means Cleveland Cavaliers should win about 6 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.
What drives the projection
- Home court: +0.6 (CLE margin)
- Player box-score production: +0.4 (CLE margin)
- Player on-court impact: +0.5 (CLE margin)
- Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): +0.4 (CLE margin)
- Rest, travel & altitude: +1.0 (CLE margin)
Rest and travel
PHI: 1 day(s) of rest, 91 miles of travel. CLE: 1 day(s) of rest, 950 miles of travel.
Projected minutes
PHI: Jaylen Brown 30, Tyrese Maxey 30, LeBron James 28, Dean Wade 25, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 23, Joel Embiid 21, Anfernee Simons 19, VJ Edgecombe 18, Adem Bona 14.
CLE: Evan Mobley 33, Donovan Mitchell 32, James Harden 31, Peyton Watson 27, Jarrett Allen 26, Mario Hezonja 23, Sam Merrill 20, Jaylon Tyson 18, Tyrese Proctor 8.
Four factors
| PHI (2025-26) | CLE (2025-26) | |
|---|---|---|
| ORtg | 112.2 | 116.1 |
| DRtg | 112.4 | 112.1 |
| Pace | 102.3 | 102.6 |
| eFG% | 53.0% | 56.1% |
| TOV% | 13.2% | 13.6% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 26.9% |
| FT rate | 0.275 | 0.265 |
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 54.3% |
All NBA predictions for Nov 6, 2026 · Cleveland Cavaliers · Philadelphia 76ers · Scorecard
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.