76ers vs Hornets Prediction, Projected Score & Pick
Philadelphia 76ers at Charlotte Hornets · Sat, Oct 31, 2026
HoopVantage's Oct 31, 2026 prediction: Philadelphia 76ers over the Hornets by 1.9 points, a 56% win probability, with a projected final of 76ers 115, Hornets 113 (total 227.0).
The model projects Philadelphia 76ers to win by 1.9 points (56% win probability), projected score CHA 113, PHI 115, total 227.0 (80% range 203–251). The largest driver is player box-score production (2.9 points toward PHI).
Matchup
Philadelphia 76ers rank 13 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (+1.7 points against an average opponent, about 47 projected wins in 2026-27); Charlotte Hornets rank 19 (−1.5, about 39 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 3.2 points to Philadelphia 76ers; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 1.9-point margin above. A 56% win probability means Philadelphia 76ers should win about 6 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.
What drives the projection
- Home court: +0.6 (CHA margin)
- Player box-score production: −2.9 (CHA margin)
- Player on-court impact: −0.5 (CHA margin)
- Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): +0.1 (CHA margin)
- Rest, travel & altitude: +0.7 (CHA margin)
Rest and travel
PHI: second night of a back-to-back, third game in four nights, 448 miles of travel. CHA: second night of a back-to-back, third game in four nights, 330 miles of travel.
Projected minutes
PHI: Jaylen Brown 30, Tyrese Maxey 30, LeBron James 28, Dean Wade 25, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 23, Joel Embiid 21, Anfernee Simons 19, VJ Edgecombe 18, Adem Bona 14.
CHA: Dennis Schroder 28, Brandon Miller 28, Naz Reid 27, Grayson Allen 26, Sion James 24, Moussa Diabate 23, Ryan Kalkbrenner 16, Royce O'Neale 14, Kon Knueppel 14.
Four factors
| PHI (2025-26) | CHA (2025-26) | |
|---|---|---|
| ORtg | 112.2 | 115.7 |
| DRtg | 112.4 | 110.9 |
| Pace | 102.3 | 99.9 |
| eFG% | 53.0% | 55.2% |
| TOV% | 13.2% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 30.5% |
| FT rate | 0.275 | 0.244 |
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 54.0% |
All NBA predictions for Oct 31, 2026 · Charlotte Hornets · Philadelphia 76ers · Scorecard
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.