76ers vs Pacers Prediction, Projected Score & Pick

Philadelphia 76ers at Indiana Pacers · Wed, Oct 28, 2026

HoopVantage's Oct 28, 2026 prediction: Philadelphia 76ers over the Pacers by 0.4 points, a 52% win probability, with a projected final of 76ers 115, Pacers 115 (total 229.8).

The model projects Philadelphia 76ers to win by 0.4 points (52% win probability), projected score IND 115, PHI 115, total 229.8 (80% range 206–253). The largest driver is player on-court impact (0.7 points toward PHI).

Matchup

Philadelphia 76ers rank 13 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (+1.7 points against an average opponent, about 47 projected wins in 2026-27); Indiana Pacers rank 17 (−1.4, about 38 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 3.1 points to Philadelphia 76ers; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 0.4-point margin above. A 52% win probability means Philadelphia 76ers should win about 5 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.

What drives the projection

• Home court: +0.6 (IND margin)
• Player box-score production: −0.4 (IND margin)
• Player on-court impact: −0.7 (IND margin)
• Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): −0.5 (IND margin)
• Rest, travel & altitude: +0.5 (IND margin)

Rest and travel

PHI: 2 day(s) of rest, 582 miles of travel. IND: 1 day(s) of rest, third game in four nights, 244 miles of travel.

Projected minutes

PHI: Adem Bona 33, Jaylen Brown 33, LeBron James 33, Tyrese Maxey 33, Dean Wade 29, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 27, Anfernee Simons 23, Rayan Rupert 16, Labaron Philon Jr. 10.

IND: Tyrese Haliburton 32, Andrew Nembhard 32, Kelly Oubre Jr. 24, Pascal Siakam 23, Aaron Nesmith 22, Quenton Jackson 18, Obi Toppin 18, Ivica Zubac 17, Jarace Walker 15.

Four factors

All NBA predictions for Oct 28, 2026 · Indiana Pacers · Philadelphia 76ers · Scorecard

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.