76ers vs Pistons Prediction, Projected Score & Pick

Philadelphia 76ers at Detroit Pistons · Wed, Nov 4, 2026

HoopVantage's Nov 4, 2026 prediction: Detroit Pistons over the 76ers by 3.5 points, a 62% win probability, with a projected final of 76ers 112, Pistons 115 (total 226.5).

The model projects Detroit Pistons to win by 3.5 points (62% win probability), projected score DET 115, PHI 112, total 226.5 (80% range 203–250). The largest driver is player on-court impact (1.5 points toward DET).

Matchup

Philadelphia 76ers rank 13 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (+1.7 points against an average opponent, about 47 projected wins in 2026-27); Detroit Pistons rank 4 (+3.6, about 52 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 1.9 points to Detroit Pistons; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 3.5-point margin above. A 62% win probability means Detroit Pistons should win about 6 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.

What drives the projection

• Home court: +0.6 (DET margin)
• Player box-score production: −0.2 (DET margin)
• Player on-court impact: +1.5 (DET margin)
• Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): +0.6 (DET margin)
• Rest, travel & altitude: +1.0 (DET margin)

Rest and travel

PHI: 1 day(s) of rest, 443 miles of travel. DET: 1 day(s) of rest, 506 miles of travel.

Projected minutes

PHI: Jaylen Brown 30, Tyrese Maxey 30, LeBron James 28, Dean Wade 25, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 23, Joel Embiid 21, Anfernee Simons 19, VJ Edgecombe 18, Adem Bona 14.

DET: Cade Cunningham 31, Duncan Robinson 26, John Collins 25, Daniss Jenkins 23, Kevin Huerter 19, Paul Reed 18, Jalen Duren 16, Ausar Thompson 16, Javonte Green 15.

Four factors

All NBA predictions for Nov 4, 2026 · Detroit Pistons · Philadelphia 76ers · Scorecard

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.