Bucks vs Timberwolves Prediction, Projected Score & Pick

Milwaukee Bucks at Minnesota Timberwolves · Mon, Nov 2, 2026

HoopVantage's Nov 2, 2026 prediction: Minnesota Timberwolves over the Bucks by 7.4 points, a 73% win probability, with a projected final of Bucks 111, Timberwolves 118 (total 229.1).

The model projects Minnesota Timberwolves to win by 7.4 points (73% win probability), projected score MIN 118, MIL 111, total 229.1 (80% range 206–253). The largest driver is team efficiency (opponent-adjusted) (2.3 points toward MIN).

Matchup

Milwaukee Bucks rank 25 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (−4.7 points against an average opponent, about 28 projected wins in 2026-27); Minnesota Timberwolves rank 11 (+2.0, about 47 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 6.7 points to Minnesota Timberwolves; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 7.4-point margin above. A 73% win probability means Minnesota Timberwolves should win about 7 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.

What drives the projection

• Home court: +0.6 (MIN margin)
• Player box-score production: +2.2 (MIN margin)
• Player on-court impact: +2.2 (MIN margin)
• Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): +2.3 (MIN margin)

Rest and travel

MIL: 1 day(s) of rest, 298 miles of travel. MIN: 1 day(s) of rest, third game in four nights, 1,111 miles of travel.

Projected minutes

MIL: Tyler Herro 29, Jaime Jaquez Jr. 27, Kyle Kuzma 26, Ryan Rollins 26, Kasparas Jakucionis 22, Myles Turner 22, AJ Green 18, Kel'el Ware 16, Brayden Burries 13.

MIN: Anthony Edwards 32, Rudy Gobert 31, Jaden McDaniels 27, Ayo Dosunmu 27, LaMelo Ball 24, Jonathan Kuminga 24, Terrence Shannon Jr. 22, Trey Lyles 14, Joan Beringer 12.

Four factors

All NBA predictions for Nov 2, 2026 · Minnesota Timberwolves · Milwaukee Bucks · Scorecard

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.