Bulls vs Celtics Prediction, Projected Score & Pick
Chicago Bulls at Boston Celtics · Fri, Oct 30, 2026 · NBA Cup - Group Play
HoopVantage's Oct 30, 2026 prediction: Boston Celtics over the Bulls by 10.7 points, a 81% win probability, with a projected final of Bulls 109, Celtics 120 (total 228.9). Against the spread the model leans Bulls +11.5: its margin is 0.8 points less favourable to Celtics than the market's. On the total the model leans under 232.5 (projection 228.9).
The model projects Boston Celtics to win by 10.7 points (81% win probability), projected score BOS 120, CHI 109, total 228.9 (80% range 205–252). The largest driver is player on-court impact (4.3 points toward BOS).
Matchup
Chicago Bulls rank 26 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (−4.9 points against an average opponent, about 28 projected wins in 2026-27); Boston Celtics rank 5 (+3.5, about 50 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 8.4 points to Boston Celtics; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 10.7-point margin above. A 81% win probability means Boston Celtics should win about 8 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.
What drives the projection
- Home court: +0.6 (BOS margin)
- Player box-score production: +2.2 (BOS margin)
- Player on-court impact: +4.3 (BOS margin)
- Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): +1.7 (BOS margin)
- Rest, travel & altitude: +1.9 (BOS margin)
Rest and travel
CHI: 1 day(s) of rest, 851 miles of travel. BOS: 2 day(s) of rest.
Projected minutes
CHI: Caleb Wilson 29, Norman Powell 27, Josh Giddey 25, Matas Buzelis 24, Leonard Miller 23, Jalen Smith 21, Isaac Okoro 20, Tre Jones 18, Buddy Hield 13.
BOS: Derrick White 34, Jayson Tatum 32, Payton Pritchard 31, Paul George 29, Neemias Queta 19, Sam Hauser 18, Jordan Walsh 17, Baylor Scheierman 16, Mitchell Robinson 16.
Four factors
| CHI (2025-26) | BOS (2025-26) | |
|---|---|---|
| ORtg | 110.6 | 117.2 |
| DRtg | 115.5 | 109.4 |
| Pace | 104.8 | 97.7 |
| eFG% | 54.7% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 12.6% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 29.2% |
| FT rate | 0.246 | 0.207 |
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 52.3% |
All NBA predictions for Oct 30, 2026 · Boston Celtics · Chicago Bulls · Scorecard
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.