Bulls vs Knicks Prediction, Projected Score & Pick
Chicago Bulls at New York Knicks · Wed, Nov 4, 2026
HoopVantage's Nov 4, 2026 prediction: New York Knicks over the Bulls by 10.9 points, a 82% win probability, with a projected final of Bulls 109, Knicks 120 (total 228.5).
The model projects New York Knicks to win by 10.9 points (82% win probability), projected score NYK 120, CHI 109, total 228.5 (80% range 205–252). The largest driver is player on-court impact (4.5 points toward NYK).
Matchup
Chicago Bulls rank 26 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (−4.9 points against an average opponent, about 28 projected wins in 2026-27); New York Knicks rank 3 (+4.5, about 51 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 9.4 points to New York Knicks; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 10.9-point margin above. A 82% win probability means New York Knicks should win about 8 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.
What drives the projection
- Home court: +0.6 (NYK margin)
- Player box-score production: +2.8 (NYK margin)
- Player on-court impact: +4.5 (NYK margin)
- Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): +2.2 (NYK margin)
- Rest, travel & altitude: +0.8 (NYK margin)
Rest and travel
CHI: 1 day(s) of rest, 85 miles of travel. NYK: 1 day(s) of rest.
Projected minutes
CHI: Caleb Wilson 28, Norman Powell 25, Josh Giddey 24, Matas Buzelis 23, Leonard Miller 22, Jalen Smith 20, Isaac Okoro 19, Nic Claxton 18, Tre Jones 17.
NYK: OG Anunoby 36, Jalen Brunson 32, Josh Hart 31, Mikal Bridges 28, Karl-Anthony Towns 28, Landry Shamet 21, Miles McBride 17, Tyler Kolek 12, Andre Drummond 11.
Four factors
| CHI (2025-26) | NYK (2025-26) | |
|---|---|---|
| ORtg | 110.6 | 116.8 |
| DRtg | 115.5 | 110.4 |
| Pace | 104.8 | 99.4 |
| eFG% | 54.7% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 13.6% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 29.6% |
| FT rate | 0.246 | 0.237 |
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 54.0% |
All NBA predictions for Nov 4, 2026 · New York Knicks · Chicago Bulls · Scorecard
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.