Cavaliers vs Hornets Prediction, Projected Score & Pick

Cleveland Cavaliers at Charlotte Hornets · Mon, Nov 9, 2026

HoopVantage's Nov 9, 2026 prediction: Cleveland Cavaliers over the Hornets by 1.9 points, a 56% win probability, with a projected final of Cavaliers 114, Hornets 113 (total 227.0).

The model projects Cleveland Cavaliers to win by 1.9 points (56% win probability), projected score CHA 113, CLE 114, total 227.0 (80% range 204–251). The largest driver is player box-score production (3.3 points toward CLE).

Matchup

Cleveland Cavaliers rank 7 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (+3.0 points against an average opponent, about 49 projected wins in 2026-27); Charlotte Hornets rank 19 (−1.5, about 39 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 4.5 points to Cleveland Cavaliers; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 1.9-point margin above. A 56% win probability means Cleveland Cavaliers should win about 6 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.

What drives the projection

• Home court: +0.6 (CHA margin)
• Player box-score production: −3.3 (CHA margin)
• Player on-court impact: −0.9 (CHA margin)
• Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): −0.3 (CHA margin)
• Rest, travel & altitude: +2.0 (CHA margin)

Rest and travel

CLE: 1 day(s) of rest, third game in four nights, 436 miles of travel. CHA: 2 day(s) of rest.

Projected minutes

CLE: Evan Mobley 33, Donovan Mitchell 32, James Harden 31, Peyton Watson 27, Jarrett Allen 26, Mario Hezonja 23, Sam Merrill 20, Jaylon Tyson 18, Tyrese Proctor 8.

CHA: Dennis Schroder 28, Brandon Miller 28, Naz Reid 27, Grayson Allen 26, Sion James 24, Moussa Diabate 23, Ryan Kalkbrenner 16, Royce O'Neale 14, Kon Knueppel 14.

Four factors

All NBA predictions for Nov 9, 2026 · Charlotte Hornets · Cleveland Cavaliers · Scorecard

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.