Celtics vs Bucks Prediction, Projected Score & Pick

Boston Celtics at Milwaukee Bucks · Sun, Nov 8, 2026

HoopVantage's Nov 8, 2026 prediction: Boston Celtics over the Bucks by 6.5 points, a 71% win probability, with a projected final of Celtics 117, Bucks 110 (total 227.2).

The model projects Boston Celtics to win by 6.5 points (71% win probability), projected score MIL 110, BOS 117, total 227.2 (80% range 204–251). The largest driver is player on-court impact (3.8 points toward BOS).

Matchup

Boston Celtics rank 5 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (+3.5 points against an average opponent, about 50 projected wins in 2026-27); Milwaukee Bucks rank 25 (−4.7, about 28 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 8.2 points to Boston Celtics; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 6.5-point margin above. A 71% win probability means Boston Celtics should win about 7 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.

What drives the projection

• Home court: +0.6 (MIL margin)
• Player box-score production: −2.3 (MIL margin)
• Player on-court impact: −3.8 (MIL margin)
• Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): −2.2 (MIL margin)
• Rest, travel & altitude: +1.1 (MIL margin)

Rest and travel

BOS: 1 day(s) of rest, 660 miles of travel. MIL: 1 day(s) of rest.

Projected minutes

BOS: Derrick White 33, Jayson Tatum 32, Payton Pritchard 29, Paul George 29, Neemias Queta 19, Sam Hauser 18, Mitchell Robinson 16, Jordan Walsh 15, Baylor Scheierman 15.

MIL: Tyler Herro 29, Jaime Jaquez Jr. 27, Kyle Kuzma 26, Ryan Rollins 26, Kasparas Jakucionis 22, Myles Turner 22, AJ Green 18, Kel'el Ware 16, Brayden Burries 13.

Four factors

All NBA predictions for Nov 8, 2026 · Milwaukee Bucks · Boston Celtics · Scorecard

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.