Celtics vs Hornets Prediction, Projected Score & Pick

Boston Celtics at Charlotte Hornets · Fri, Nov 6, 2026 · NBA Cup - Group Play

HoopVantage's Nov 6, 2026 prediction: Boston Celtics over the Hornets by 3.7 points, a 62% win probability, with a projected final of Celtics 114, Hornets 110 (total 224.5).

The model projects Boston Celtics to win by 3.7 points (62% win probability), projected score CHA 110, BOS 114, total 224.5 (80% range 201–248). The largest driver is player box-score production (2.3 points toward BOS).

Matchup

Boston Celtics rank 5 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (+3.5 points against an average opponent, about 50 projected wins in 2026-27); Charlotte Hornets rank 19 (−1.5, about 39 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 5.0 points to Boston Celtics; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 3.7-point margin above. A 62% win probability means Boston Celtics should win about 6 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.

What drives the projection

• Home court: +0.6 (CHA margin)
• Player box-score production: −2.3 (CHA margin)
• Player on-court impact: −2.2 (CHA margin)
• Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): −0.6 (CHA margin)
• Rest, travel & altitude: +0.7 (CHA margin)

Rest and travel

BOS: 1 day(s) of rest, 721 miles of travel. CHA: 1 day(s) of rest, 531 miles of travel.

Projected minutes

BOS: Derrick White 33, Jayson Tatum 32, Payton Pritchard 29, Paul George 29, Neemias Queta 19, Sam Hauser 18, Mitchell Robinson 16, Jordan Walsh 15, Baylor Scheierman 15.

CHA: Dennis Schroder 28, Brandon Miller 28, Naz Reid 27, Grayson Allen 26, Sion James 24, Moussa Diabate 23, Ryan Kalkbrenner 16, Royce O'Neale 14, Kon Knueppel 14.

Four factors

All NBA predictions for Nov 6, 2026 · Charlotte Hornets · Boston Celtics · Scorecard

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.