Grizzlies vs Trail Blazers Prediction, Projected Score & Pick
Memphis Grizzlies at Portland Trail Blazers · Thu, Oct 29, 2026
HoopVantage's Oct 29, 2026 prediction: Portland Trail Blazers over the Grizzlies by 5.9 points, a 69% win probability, with a projected final of Grizzlies 111, Trail Blazers 117 (total 228.7).
The model projects Portland Trail Blazers to win by 5.9 points (69% win probability), projected score POR 117, MEM 111, total 228.7 (80% range 205–252). The largest driver is team efficiency (opponent-adjusted) (1.7 points toward POR).
Matchup
Memphis Grizzlies rank 21 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (−2.3 points against an average opponent, about 36 projected wins in 2026-27); Portland Trail Blazers rank 14 (+1.3, about 44 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 3.6 points to Portland Trail Blazers; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 5.9-point margin above. A 69% win probability means Portland Trail Blazers should win about 7 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.
What drives the projection
- Home court: +0.6 (POR margin)
- Player box-score production: +1.6 (POR margin)
- Player on-court impact: +0.8 (POR margin)
- Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): +1.7 (POR margin)
- Rest, travel & altitude: +1.1 (POR margin)
Rest and travel
MEM: 2 day(s) of rest, 634 miles of travel. POR: 1 day(s) of rest, 827 miles of travel.
Projected minutes
MEM: Ty Jerome 29, Cameron Boozer 26, Cedric Coward 24, Jaylen Wells 23, Jerami Grant 20, Quinten Post 20, Isaiah Stewart 18, Scotty Pippen Jr. 17, Cam Spencer 16.
POR: Deni Avdija 28, Damian Lillard 27, Jrue Holiday 25, Ja Morant 24, Toumani Camara 24, Donovan Clingan 22, Sidy Cissoko 21, Scoot Henderson 20, Robert Williams III 18.
Four factors
| MEM (2025-26) | POR (2025-26) | |
|---|---|---|
| ORtg | 109.9 | 111 |
| DRtg | 115.6 | 111.3 |
| Pace | 104.1 | 103.6 |
| eFG% | 53.3% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 31.3% |
| FT rate | 0.251 | 0.280 |
| Opp eFG% | 56.2% | 54.1% |
All NBA predictions for Oct 29, 2026 · Portland Trail Blazers · Memphis Grizzlies · Scorecard
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.