Hawks vs Pelicans Prediction, Projected Score & Pick

Atlanta Hawks at New Orleans Pelicans · Sat, Oct 31, 2026

HoopVantage's Oct 31, 2026 prediction: Atlanta Hawks over the Pelicans by 2.1 points, a 57% win probability, with a projected final of Hawks 116, Pelicans 114 (total 230.6).

The model projects Atlanta Hawks to win by 2.1 points (57% win probability), projected score NOP 114, ATL 116, total 230.6 (80% range 207–254). The largest driver is player on-court impact (2.6 points toward ATL).

Matchup

Atlanta Hawks rank 12 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (+1.7 points against an average opponent, about 47 projected wins in 2026-27); New Orleans Pelicans rank 20 (−2.3, about 33 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 4.0 points to Atlanta Hawks; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 2.1-point margin above. A 57% win probability means Atlanta Hawks should win about 6 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.

What drives the projection

• Home court: +0.6 (NOP margin)
• Player box-score production: +0.7 (NOP margin)
• Player on-court impact: −2.6 (NOP margin)
• Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): −2.1 (NOP margin)
• Rest, travel & altitude: +1.3 (NOP margin)

Rest and travel

ATL: 1 day(s) of rest, third game in four nights, 425 miles of travel. NOP: 1 day(s) of rest, third game in four nights.

Projected minutes

ATL: Jalen Johnson 32, Onyeka Okongwu 27, Nickeil Alexander-Walker 26, Dyson Daniels 25, CJ McCollum 23, Aaron Wiggins 22, Luguentz Dort 20, Jock Landale 20, Kingston Flemings 15.

NOP: Trey Murphy III 29, Dejounte Murray 27, Zion Williamson 27, Saddiq Bey 21, Jeremiah Fears 21, Derik Queen 21, Jordan Poole 16, Bennedict Mathurin 16, Herbert Jones 15.

Four factors

All NBA predictions for Oct 31, 2026 · New Orleans Pelicans · Atlanta Hawks · Scorecard

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.