Hornets vs Nets Prediction, Projected Score & Pick
Charlotte Hornets at Brooklyn Nets · Wed, Nov 4, 2026
HoopVantage's Nov 4, 2026 prediction: Charlotte Hornets over the Nets by 2.5 points, a 58% win probability, with a projected final of Hornets 114, Nets 112 (total 226.3).
The model projects Charlotte Hornets to win by 2.5 points (58% win probability), projected score BKN 112, CHA 114, total 226.3 (80% range 203–250). The largest driver is team efficiency (opponent-adjusted) (2.1 points toward CHA).
Matchup
Charlotte Hornets rank 19 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (−1.5 points against an average opponent, about 39 projected wins in 2026-27); Brooklyn Nets rank 28 (−5.3, about 27 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 3.8 points to Charlotte Hornets; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 2.5-point margin above. A 58% win probability means Charlotte Hornets should win about 6 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.
What drives the projection
- Home court: +0.6 (BKN margin)
- Player box-score production: +0.1 (BKN margin)
- Player on-court impact: −1.9 (BKN margin)
- Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): −2.1 (BKN margin)
- Rest, travel & altitude: +0.8 (BKN margin)
Rest and travel
CHA: 1 day(s) of rest, 531 miles of travel. BKN: 1 day(s) of rest, third game in four nights.
Projected minutes
CHA: Dennis Schroder 28, Brandon Miller 28, Naz Reid 27, Grayson Allen 26, Sion James 24, Moussa Diabate 23, Ryan Kalkbrenner 16, Royce O'Neale 14, Kon Knueppel 14.
BKN: Julius Randle 28, Michael Porter Jr. 26, Egor Demin 25, Keon Ellis 23, Day'Ron Sharpe 19, Noah Clowney 18, Drake Powell 16, Chaney Johnson 16, Nolan Traore 16.
Four factors
| CHA (2025-26) | BKN (2025-26) | |
|---|---|---|
| ORtg | 115.7 | 105.9 |
| DRtg | 110.9 | 115.9 |
| Pace | 99.9 | 99.6 |
| eFG% | 55.2% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 23.6% |
| FT rate | 0.244 | 0.272 |
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 57.1% |
All NBA predictions for Nov 4, 2026 · Brooklyn Nets · Charlotte Hornets · Scorecard
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.