Hornets vs Nets Prediction, Projected Score & Pick

Charlotte Hornets at Brooklyn Nets · Wed, Nov 4, 2026

HoopVantage's Nov 4, 2026 prediction: Charlotte Hornets over the Nets by 2.5 points, a 58% win probability, with a projected final of Hornets 114, Nets 112 (total 226.3).

The model projects Charlotte Hornets to win by 2.5 points (58% win probability), projected score BKN 112, CHA 114, total 226.3 (80% range 203–250). The largest driver is team efficiency (opponent-adjusted) (2.1 points toward CHA).

Matchup

Charlotte Hornets rank 19 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (−1.5 points against an average opponent, about 39 projected wins in 2026-27); Brooklyn Nets rank 28 (−5.3, about 27 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 3.8 points to Charlotte Hornets; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 2.5-point margin above. A 58% win probability means Charlotte Hornets should win about 6 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.

What drives the projection

Rest and travel

CHA: 1 day(s) of rest, 531 miles of travel. BKN: 1 day(s) of rest, third game in four nights.

Projected minutes

CHA: Dennis Schroder 28, Brandon Miller 28, Naz Reid 27, Grayson Allen 26, Sion James 24, Moussa Diabate 23, Ryan Kalkbrenner 16, Royce O'Neale 14, Kon Knueppel 14.

BKN: Julius Randle 28, Michael Porter Jr. 26, Egor Demin 25, Keon Ellis 23, Day'Ron Sharpe 19, Noah Clowney 18, Drake Powell 16, Chaney Johnson 16, Nolan Traore 16.

Four factors

CHA (2025-26)BKN (2025-26)
ORtg115.7105.9
DRtg110.9115.9
Pace99.999.6
eFG%55.2%52.0%
TOV%15.4%15.8%
ORB%30.5%23.6%
FT rate0.2440.272
Opp eFG%54.0%57.1%

All NBA predictions for Nov 4, 2026 · Brooklyn Nets · Charlotte Hornets · Scorecard

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.