Hornets vs Pistons Prediction, Projected Score & Pick

Charlotte Hornets at Detroit Pistons · Wed, Oct 28, 2026

HoopVantage's Oct 28, 2026 prediction: Detroit Pistons over the Hornets by 3.9 points, a 63% win probability, with a projected final of Hornets 110, Pistons 114 (total 224.8).

The model projects Detroit Pistons to win by 3.9 points (63% win probability), projected score DET 114, CHA 110, total 224.8 (80% range 201–248). The largest driver is player box-score production (2.4 points toward DET).

Matchup

Charlotte Hornets rank 19 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (−1.5 points against an average opponent, about 39 projected wins in 2026-27); Detroit Pistons rank 4 (+3.6, about 52 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 5.1 points to Detroit Pistons; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 3.9-point margin above. A 63% win probability means Detroit Pistons should win about 6 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.

What drives the projection

• Home court: +0.6 (DET margin)
• Player box-score production: +2.4 (DET margin)
• Player on-court impact: +1.7 (DET margin)
• Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): +0.4 (DET margin)
• Rest, travel & altitude: −1.2 (DET margin)

Rest and travel

CHA: 1 day(s) of rest, 506 miles of travel. DET: second night of a back-to-back, third game in four nights, 481 miles of travel.

Projected minutes

CHA: Dennis Schroder 31, Grayson Allen 30, Brandon Miller 29, Sion James 27, Naz Reid 26, Moussa Diabate 23, Ryan Kalkbrenner 15, Royce O'Neale 15, Tidjane Salaun 14.

DET: Cade Cunningham 33, Duncan Robinson 26, Daniss Jenkins 26, John Collins 26, Kevin Huerter 21, Paul Reed 19, Javonte Green 17, Elijah Harkless 14, Isaiah Joe 14.

Four factors

All NBA predictions for Oct 28, 2026 · Detroit Pistons · Charlotte Hornets · Scorecard

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.