Hornets vs Wizards Prediction, Projected Score & Pick
Charlotte Hornets at Washington Wizards · Fri, Oct 30, 2026 · NBA Cup - Group Play
HoopVantage's Oct 30, 2026 prediction: Charlotte Hornets over the Wizards by 0.7 points, a 52% win probability, with a projected final of Hornets 115, Wizards 114 (total 228.7). Against the spread the model leans Hornets +1.5: its margin is 2.2 points less favourable to Wizards than the market's. On the total the model leans under 235.5 (projection 228.7).
The model projects Charlotte Hornets to win by 0.7 points (52% win probability), projected score WAS 114, CHA 115, total 228.7 (80% range 205–252). The largest driver is player on-court impact (2.6 points toward CHA).
Matchup
Charlotte Hornets rank 19 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (−1.5 points against an average opponent, about 39 projected wins in 2026-27); Washington Wizards rank 27 (−4.9, about 30 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 3.4 points to Charlotte Hornets; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 0.7-point margin above. A 52% win probability means Charlotte Hornets should win about 5 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.
What drives the projection
- Home court: +0.6 (WAS margin)
- Player box-score production: +2.0 (WAS margin)
- Player on-court impact: −2.6 (WAS margin)
- Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): −1.6 (WAS margin)
- Rest, travel & altitude: +0.9 (WAS margin)
Rest and travel
CHA: 1 day(s) of rest, 396 miles of travel. WAS: 1 day(s) of rest, 305 miles of travel.
Projected minutes
CHA: Dennis Schroder 31, Grayson Allen 30, Brandon Miller 29, Sion James 27, Naz Reid 26, Moussa Diabate 23, Ryan Kalkbrenner 15, Royce O'Neale 15, Tidjane Salaun 14.
WAS: Anthony Davis 32, Trae Young 32, Kyshawn George 29, Bilal Coulibaly 25, Justin Champagnie 23, Tre Johnson 21, Alex Sarr 19, Bub Carrington 18, Deandre Ayton 13.
Four factors
| CHA (2025-26) | WAS (2025-26) | |
|---|---|---|
| ORtg | 115.7 | 108.1 |
| DRtg | 110.9 | 119.6 |
| Pace | 99.9 | 104 |
| eFG% | 55.2% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 24.1% |
| FT rate | 0.244 | 0.235 |
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 56.3% |
All NBA predictions for Oct 30, 2026 · Washington Wizards · Charlotte Hornets · Scorecard
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.