Jazz vs Spurs Prediction, Projected Score & Pick

Utah Jazz at San Antonio Spurs · Mon, Nov 2, 2026

HoopVantage's Nov 2, 2026 prediction: San Antonio Spurs over the Jazz by 13.2 points, a 86% win probability, with a projected final of Jazz 109, Spurs 122 (total 230.1).

The model projects San Antonio Spurs to win by 13.2 points (86% win probability), projected score SAS 122, UTA 109, total 230.1 (80% range 207–254). The largest driver is player on-court impact (5.6 points toward SAS).

Matchup

Utah Jazz rank 24 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (−4.2 points against an average opponent, about 31 projected wins in 2026-27); San Antonio Spurs rank 1 (+7.3, about 59 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 11.5 points to San Antonio Spurs; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 13.2-point margin above. A 86% win probability means San Antonio Spurs should win about 9 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.

What drives the projection

• Home court: +0.6 (SAS margin)
• Player box-score production: +3.1 (SAS margin)
• Player on-court impact: +5.6 (SAS margin)
• Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): +2.9 (SAS margin)
• Rest, travel & altitude: +0.9 (SAS margin)

Rest and travel

UTA: 1 day(s) of rest, 1,090 miles of travel. SAS: 1 day(s) of rest.

Projected minutes

UTA: Lauri Markkanen 32, Jaren Jackson Jr. 28, Jaxson Hayes 26, Keyonte George 25, Darryn Peterson 24, Ace Bailey 21, Brice Sensabaugh 16, Svi Mykhailiuk 15, Isaiah Collier 14.

SAS: Devin Vassell 29, Victor Wembanyama 28, De'Aaron Fox 27, Tobias Harris 27, Dylan Harper 27, Stephon Castle 26, Julian Champagnie 24, Keldon Johnson 18, Luke Kornet 12.

Four factors

All NBA predictions for Nov 2, 2026 · San Antonio Spurs · Utah Jazz · Scorecard

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.