Jazz vs Timberwolves Prediction, Projected Score & Pick

Utah Jazz at Minnesota Timberwolves · Sun, Nov 8, 2026

HoopVantage's Nov 8, 2026 prediction: Minnesota Timberwolves over the Jazz by 7.2 points, a 73% win probability, with a projected final of Jazz 112, Timberwolves 119 (total 230.6).

The model projects Minnesota Timberwolves to win by 7.2 points (73% win probability), projected score MIN 119, UTA 112, total 230.6 (80% range 207–254). The largest driver is player on-court impact (2.6 points toward MIN).

Matchup

Utah Jazz rank 24 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (−4.2 points against an average opponent, about 31 projected wins in 2026-27); Minnesota Timberwolves rank 11 (+2.0, about 47 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 6.2 points to Minnesota Timberwolves; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 7.2-point margin above. A 73% win probability means Minnesota Timberwolves should win about 7 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.

What drives the projection

• Home court: +0.6 (MIN margin)
• Player box-score production: +1.5 (MIN margin)
• Player on-court impact: +2.6 (MIN margin)
• Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): +2.1 (MIN margin)
• Rest, travel & altitude: +0.3 (MIN margin)

Rest and travel

UTA: 1 day(s) of rest, 863 miles of travel. MIN: 1 day(s) of rest, 1,053 miles of travel.

Projected minutes

UTA: Lauri Markkanen 32, Jaren Jackson Jr. 28, Jaxson Hayes 26, Keyonte George 25, Darryn Peterson 24, Ace Bailey 21, Brice Sensabaugh 16, Svi Mykhailiuk 15, Isaiah Collier 14.

MIN: Anthony Edwards 32, Rudy Gobert 31, Jaden McDaniels 27, Ayo Dosunmu 27, LaMelo Ball 24, Jonathan Kuminga 24, Terrence Shannon Jr. 22, Trey Lyles 14, Joan Beringer 12.

Four factors

All NBA predictions for Nov 8, 2026 · Minnesota Timberwolves · Utah Jazz · Scorecard

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.