Kings vs Grizzlies Prediction, Projected Score & Pick

Sacramento Kings at Memphis Grizzlies · Sat, Oct 31, 2026

HoopVantage's Oct 31, 2026 prediction: Memphis Grizzlies over the Kings by 5.4 points, a 67% win probability, with a projected final of Kings 112, Grizzlies 118 (total 229.8).

The model projects Memphis Grizzlies to win by 5.4 points (67% win probability), projected score MEM 118, SAC 112, total 229.8 (80% range 206–253). The largest driver is player on-court impact (2.9 points toward MEM).

Matchup

Sacramento Kings rank 30 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (−6.5 points against an average opponent, about 24 projected wins in 2026-27); Memphis Grizzlies rank 21 (−2.3, about 36 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 4.2 points to Memphis Grizzlies; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 5.4-point margin above. A 67% win probability means Memphis Grizzlies should win about 7 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.

What drives the projection

• Home court: +0.6 (MEM margin)
• Player box-score production: +1.3 (MEM margin)
• Player on-court impact: +2.9 (MEM margin)
• Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): +0.2 (MEM margin)
• Rest, travel & altitude: +0.3 (MEM margin)

Rest and travel

SAC: 1 day(s) of rest, 359 miles of travel. MEM: 1 day(s) of rest, 1,846 miles of travel.

Projected minutes

SAC: Domantas Sabonis 33, Zach LaVine 32, Precious Achiuwa 30, Darius Acuff Jr. 29, De'Andre Hunter 23, Keegan Murray 16, Daeqwon Plowden 16, Emanuel Sharp 13, Malik Monk 12.

MEM: Ty Jerome 30, Cameron Boozer 26, Cedric Coward 24, Jaylen Wells 24, Jerami Grant 20, Scotty Pippen Jr. 18, Cam Spencer 17, Quinten Post 16, Isaiah Stewart 15.

Four factors

All NBA predictions for Oct 31, 2026 · Memphis Grizzlies · Sacramento Kings · Scorecard

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.