Knicks vs 76ers Prediction, Projected Score & Pick
New York Knicks at Philadelphia 76ers · Fri, Oct 30, 2026 · NBA Cup - Group Play
HoopVantage's Oct 30, 2026 prediction: New York Knicks over the 76ers by 1.7 points, a 56% win probability, with a projected final of Knicks 114, 76ers 112 (total 225.5). Against the spread the model leans Knicks +2.5: its margin is 4.2 points less favourable to 76ers than the market's. On the total the model leans under 231.5 (projection 225.5).
The model projects New York Knicks to win by 1.7 points (56% win probability), projected score PHI 112, NYK 114, total 225.5 (80% range 202–249). The largest driver is player on-court impact (2.1 points toward NYK).
Matchup
New York Knicks rank 3 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (+4.5 points against an average opponent, about 51 projected wins in 2026-27); Philadelphia 76ers rank 13 (+1.7, about 47 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 2.8 points to New York Knicks; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 1.7-point margin above. A 56% win probability means New York Knicks should win about 6 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.
What drives the projection
- Home court: +0.6 (PHI margin)
- Player box-score production: −0.9 (PHI margin)
- Player on-court impact: −2.1 (PHI margin)
- Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): −1.1 (PHI margin)
- Rest, travel & altitude: +1.8 (PHI margin)
Rest and travel
NYK: 1 day(s) of rest, third game in four nights, 667 miles of travel. PHI: 1 day(s) of rest, 582 miles of travel.
Projected minutes
NYK: OG Anunoby 36, Jalen Brunson 33, Josh Hart 32, Mikal Bridges 29, Karl-Anthony Towns 28, Landry Shamet 21, Miles McBride 17, Tyler Kolek 12, Andre Drummond 11.
PHI: Adem Bona 33, Jaylen Brown 33, LeBron James 33, Tyrese Maxey 33, Dean Wade 29, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 27, Anfernee Simons 23, Rayan Rupert 16, Labaron Philon Jr. 10.
Four factors
| NYK (2025-26) | PHI (2025-26) | |
|---|---|---|
| ORtg | 116.8 | 112.2 |
| DRtg | 110.4 | 112.4 |
| Pace | 99.4 | 102.3 |
| eFG% | 55.7% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 13.6% | 13.2% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 26.2% |
| FT rate | 0.237 | 0.275 |
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 54.1% |
All NBA predictions for Oct 30, 2026 · Philadelphia 76ers · New York Knicks · Scorecard
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.