Knicks vs Bulls Prediction, Projected Score & Pick
New York Knicks at Chicago Bulls · Wed, Oct 28, 2026
HoopVantage's Oct 28, 2026 prediction: New York Knicks over the Bulls by 6.2 points, a 70% win probability, with a projected final of Knicks 118, Bulls 111 (total 229.0).
The model projects New York Knicks to win by 6.2 points (70% win probability), projected score CHI 111, NYK 118, total 229.0 (80% range 205–253). The largest driver is player on-court impact (4.1 points toward NYK).
Matchup
New York Knicks rank 3 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (+4.5 points against an average opponent, about 51 projected wins in 2026-27); Chicago Bulls rank 26 (−4.9, about 28 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 9.4 points to New York Knicks; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 6.2-point margin above. A 70% win probability means New York Knicks should win about 7 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.
What drives the projection
- Home court: +0.6 (CHI margin)
- Player box-score production: −2.9 (CHI margin)
- Player on-court impact: −4.1 (CHI margin)
- Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): −2.2 (CHI margin)
- Rest, travel & altitude: +2.4 (CHI margin)
Rest and travel
NYK: second night of a back-to-back, third game in four nights, 713 miles of travel. CHI: 1 day(s) of rest, 851 miles of travel.
Projected minutes
NYK: OG Anunoby 36, Jalen Brunson 33, Josh Hart 32, Mikal Bridges 29, Karl-Anthony Towns 28, Landry Shamet 21, Miles McBride 17, Tyler Kolek 12, Andre Drummond 11.
CHI: Caleb Wilson 29, Norman Powell 27, Josh Giddey 25, Matas Buzelis 24, Leonard Miller 23, Jalen Smith 21, Isaac Okoro 20, Tre Jones 18, Buddy Hield 13.
Four factors
| NYK (2025-26) | CHI (2025-26) | |
|---|---|---|
| ORtg | 116.8 | 110.6 |
| DRtg | 110.4 | 115.5 |
| Pace | 99.4 | 104.8 |
| eFG% | 55.7% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 13.6% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 23.1% |
| FT rate | 0.237 | 0.246 |
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 55.3% |
All NBA predictions for Oct 28, 2026 · Chicago Bulls · New York Knicks · Scorecard
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.