Knicks vs Cavaliers Prediction, Projected Score & Pick
New York Knicks at Cleveland Cavaliers · Sat, Nov 7, 2026
HoopVantage's Nov 7, 2026 prediction: New York Knicks over the Cavaliers by 2.6 points, a 59% win probability, with a projected final of Knicks 115, Cavaliers 112 (total 226.6).
The model projects New York Knicks to win by 2.6 points (59% win probability), projected score CLE 112, NYK 115, total 226.6 (80% range 203–250). The largest driver is rest, travel & altitude (1.7 points toward NYK).
Matchup
New York Knicks rank 3 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (+4.5 points against an average opponent, about 51 projected wins in 2026-27); Cleveland Cavaliers rank 7 (+3.0, about 49 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 1.5 points to New York Knicks; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 2.6-point margin above. A 59% win probability means New York Knicks should win about 6 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.
What drives the projection
- Home court: +0.6 (CLE margin)
- Player box-score production: +0.3 (CLE margin)
- Player on-court impact: −1.2 (CLE margin)
- Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): −0.7 (CLE margin)
- Rest, travel & altitude: −1.7 (CLE margin)
Rest and travel
NYK: 2 day(s) of rest, 404 miles of travel. CLE: second night of a back-to-back, third game in four nights.
Projected minutes
NYK: OG Anunoby 36, Jalen Brunson 32, Josh Hart 31, Mikal Bridges 28, Karl-Anthony Towns 28, Landry Shamet 21, Miles McBride 17, Tyler Kolek 12, Andre Drummond 11.
CLE: Evan Mobley 33, Donovan Mitchell 32, James Harden 31, Peyton Watson 27, Jarrett Allen 26, Mario Hezonja 23, Sam Merrill 20, Jaylon Tyson 18, Tyrese Proctor 8.
Four factors
| NYK (2025-26) | CLE (2025-26) | |
|---|---|---|
| ORtg | 116.8 | 116.1 |
| DRtg | 110.4 | 112.1 |
| Pace | 99.4 | 102.6 |
| eFG% | 55.7% | 56.1% |
| TOV% | 13.6% | 13.6% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 26.9% |
| FT rate | 0.237 | 0.265 |
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 54.3% |
All NBA predictions for Nov 7, 2026 · Cleveland Cavaliers · New York Knicks · Scorecard
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.