Magic vs Raptors Prediction, Projected Score & Pick

Orlando Magic at Toronto Raptors · Wed, Oct 28, 2026

HoopVantage's Oct 28, 2026 prediction: Toronto Raptors over the Magic by 3.9 points, a 63% win probability, with a projected final of Magic 111, Raptors 115 (total 226.2).

The model projects Toronto Raptors to win by 3.9 points (63% win probability), projected score TOR 115, ORL 111, total 226.2 (80% range 203–250). The largest driver is rest, travel & altitude (1.4 points toward TOR).

Matchup

Orlando Magic rank 16 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (0.0 points against an average opponent, about 41 projected wins in 2026-27); Toronto Raptors rank 10 (+2.3, about 47 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 2.3 points to Toronto Raptors; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 3.9-point margin above. A 63% win probability means Toronto Raptors should win about 6 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.

What drives the projection

• Home court: +0.6 (TOR margin)
• Player box-score production: +0.7 (TOR margin)
• Player on-court impact: −0.1 (TOR margin)
• Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): +1.2 (TOR margin)
• Rest, travel & altitude: +1.4 (TOR margin)

Rest and travel

ORL: 2 day(s) of rest, 340 miles of travel. TOR: 2 day(s) of rest, 692 miles of travel.

Projected minutes

ORL: Tristan da Silva 35, Franz Wagner 35, Jalen Suggs 30, Wendell Carter Jr. 29, Desmond Bane 29, Anthony Black 24, Jamal Cain 19, Jase Richardson 12, Nikola Vucevic 9.

TOR: RJ Barrett 32, Scottie Barnes 31, Immanuel Quickley 27, Ja'Kobe Walter 26, Jakob Poeltl 24, Jamal Shead 21, Collin Murray-Boyles 20, Allen Graves 15, Malachi Smith 14.

Four factors

All NBA predictions for Oct 28, 2026 · Toronto Raptors · Orlando Magic · Scorecard

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.