Magic vs Suns Prediction, Projected Score & Pick

Orlando Magic at Phoenix Suns · Thu, Nov 5, 2026

HoopVantage's Nov 5, 2026 prediction: Orlando Magic over the Suns by 2.4 points, a 58% win probability, with a projected final of Magic 115, Suns 113 (total 228.3).

The model projects Orlando Magic to win by 2.4 points (58% win probability), projected score PHX 113, ORL 115, total 228.3 (80% range 205–252). The largest driver is rest, travel & altitude (1.5 points toward ORL).

Matchup

Orlando Magic rank 16 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (0.0 points against an average opponent, about 41 projected wins in 2026-27); Phoenix Suns rank 18 (−1.5, about 38 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 1.5 points to Orlando Magic; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 2.4-point margin above. A 58% win probability means Orlando Magic should win about 6 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.

What drives the projection

• Home court: +0.6 (PHX margin)
• Player box-score production: −1.0 (PHX margin)
• Player on-court impact: −0.8 (PHX margin)
• Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): +0.2 (PHX margin)
• Rest, travel & altitude: −1.5 (PHX margin)

Rest and travel

ORL: 2 day(s) of rest, 1,842 miles of travel. PHX: second night of a back-to-back, third game in four nights.

Projected minutes

ORL: Franz Wagner 33, Jalen Suggs 29, Wendell Carter Jr. 28, Desmond Bane 28, Tristan da Silva 27, Anthony Black 23, Paolo Banchero 22, Jamal Cain 14, Jase Richardson 12.

PHX: Devin Booker 29, Dillon Brooks 28, Miles Bridges 28, Khaman Maluach 27, Jalen Green 24, Collin Gillespie 21, Luke Kennard 19, Jordan Goodwin 18, Ryan Dunn 12.

Four factors

All NBA predictions for Nov 5, 2026 · Phoenix Suns · Orlando Magic · Scorecard

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.