Nets vs Pacers Prediction, Projected Score & Pick
Brooklyn Nets at Indiana Pacers · Sun, Nov 1, 2026
HoopVantage's Nov 1, 2026 prediction: Indiana Pacers over the Nets by 4.9 points, a 66% win probability, with a projected final of Nets 113, Pacers 117 (total 229.8).
The model projects Indiana Pacers to win by 4.9 points (66% win probability), projected score IND 117, BKN 113, total 229.8 (80% range 206–253). The largest driver is player box-score production (1.4 points toward IND).
Matchup
Brooklyn Nets rank 28 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (−5.3 points against an average opponent, about 27 projected wins in 2026-27); Indiana Pacers rank 17 (−1.4, about 38 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 3.9 points to Indiana Pacers; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 4.9-point margin above. A 66% win probability means Indiana Pacers should win about 7 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.
What drives the projection
- Home court: +0.6 (IND margin)
- Player box-score production: +1.4 (IND margin)
- Player on-court impact: +1.2 (IND margin)
- Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): +1.4 (IND margin)
- Rest, travel & altitude: +0.2 (IND margin)
Rest and travel
BKN: 1 day(s) of rest, 645 miles of travel. IND: 1 day(s) of rest, 1,026 miles of travel.
Projected minutes
BKN: Julius Randle 28, Michael Porter Jr. 26, Egor Demin 25, Keon Ellis 23, Day'Ron Sharpe 19, Noah Clowney 18, Drake Powell 16, Chaney Johnson 16, Nolan Traore 16.
IND: Andrew Nembhard 31, Tyrese Haliburton 31, Pascal Siakam 24, Kelly Oubre Jr. 24, Aaron Nesmith 21, Obi Toppin 18, Ivica Zubac 18, Quenton Jackson 18, Jarace Walker 16.
Four factors
| BKN (2025-26) | IND (2025-26) | |
|---|---|---|
| ORtg | 105.9 | 108.3 |
| DRtg | 115.9 | 116 |
| Pace | 99.6 | 103.4 |
| eFG% | 52.0% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 21.7% |
| FT rate | 0.272 | 0.252 |
| Opp eFG% | 57.1% | 55.6% |
All NBA predictions for Nov 1, 2026 · Indiana Pacers · Brooklyn Nets · Scorecard
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.