Nuggets vs Suns Prediction, Projected Score & Pick

Denver Nuggets at Phoenix Suns · Fri, Oct 30, 2026 · NBA Cup - Group Play

HoopVantage's Oct 30, 2026 prediction: Denver Nuggets over the Suns by 3.3 points, a 61% win probability, with a projected final of Nuggets 116, Suns 112 (total 228.1). On the total the model leans under 233.5 (projection 228.1).

The model projects Denver Nuggets to win by 3.3 points (61% win probability), projected score PHX 112, DEN 116, total 228.1 (80% range 205–252). The largest driver is player on-court impact (2.5 points toward DEN).

Matchup

Denver Nuggets rank 8 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (+2.9 points against an average opponent, about 49 projected wins in 2026-27); Phoenix Suns rank 18 (−1.5, about 38 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 4.4 points to Denver Nuggets; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 3.3-point margin above. A 61% win probability means Denver Nuggets should win about 6 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.

What drives the projection

• Home court: +0.6 (PHX margin)
• Player box-score production: −2.1 (PHX margin)
• Player on-court impact: −2.5 (PHX margin)
• Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): −0.2 (PHX margin)
• Rest, travel & altitude: +0.9 (PHX margin)

Rest and travel

DEN: 1 day(s) of rest, 1,312 miles of travel. PHX: 3 day(s) of rest, 840 miles of travel.

Projected minutes

DEN: Jamal Murray 33, Aaron Gordon 31, Christian Braun 31, Nikola Jokic 30, DeMar DeRozan 23, Trevon Brazile 21, Cam Whitmore 13, Alpha Diallo 12, Marvin Bagley III 12.

PHX: Devin Booker 29, Dillon Brooks 28, Miles Bridges 28, Khaman Maluach 27, Jalen Green 24, Collin Gillespie 21, Luke Kennard 19, Jordan Goodwin 18, Ryan Dunn 12.

Four factors

All NBA predictions for Oct 30, 2026 · Phoenix Suns · Denver Nuggets · Scorecard

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.