Pelicans vs Clippers Prediction, Projected Score & Pick
New Orleans Pelicans at LA Clippers · Sun, Nov 8, 2026
HoopVantage's Nov 8, 2026 prediction: LA Clippers over the Pelicans by 1.1 points, a 54% win probability, with a projected final of Pelicans 114, Clippers 115 (total 228.9).
The model projects LA Clippers to win by 1.1 points (54% win probability), projected score LAC 115, NOP 114, total 228.9 (80% range 205–252). The largest driver is player box-score production (3.4 points toward NOP).
Matchup
New Orleans Pelicans rank 20 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (−2.3 points against an average opponent, about 33 projected wins in 2026-27); LA Clippers rank 23 (−2.7, about 35 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 0.4 points to New Orleans Pelicans; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 1.1-point margin above. A 54% win probability means LA Clippers should win about 5 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.
What drives the projection
- Home court: +0.6 (LAC margin)
- Player box-score production: −3.4 (LAC margin)
- Player on-court impact: +1.9 (LAC margin)
- Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): +1.1 (LAC margin)
- Rest, travel & altitude: +0.8 (LAC margin)
Rest and travel
NOP: 1 day(s) of rest, 1,674 miles of travel. LAC: 3 day(s) of rest.
Projected minutes
NOP: Trey Murphy III 29, Dejounte Murray 27, Zion Williamson 27, Saddiq Bey 21, Jeremiah Fears 21, Derik Queen 21, Jordan Poole 16, Bennedict Mathurin 16, Herbert Jones 15.
LAC: Darius Garland 30, Kris Dunn 30, Rui Hachimura 29, Derrick Jones Jr. 27, Brook Lopez 26, Keaton Wagler 24, Isaiah Jackson 20, Kobe Sanders 18, Gradey Dick 14.
Four factors
| NOP (2025-26) | LAC (2025-26) | |
|---|---|---|
| ORtg | 111.3 | 114.5 |
| DRtg | 115.6 | 113.3 |
| Pace | 103.2 | 98.9 |
| eFG% | 52.7% | 55.9% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 23.7% |
| FT rate | 0.284 | 0.295 |
| Opp eFG% | 55.5% | 54.5% |
All NBA predictions for Nov 8, 2026 · LA Clippers · New Orleans Pelicans · Scorecard
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.