Pelicans vs Grizzlies Prediction, Projected Score & Pick

New Orleans Pelicans at Memphis Grizzlies · Mon, Nov 2, 2026

HoopVantage's Nov 2, 2026 prediction: Memphis Grizzlies over the Pelicans by 1.4 points, a 55% win probability, with a projected final of Pelicans 115, Grizzlies 116 (total 231.5).

The model projects Memphis Grizzlies to win by 1.4 points (55% win probability), projected score MEM 116, NOP 115, total 231.5 (80% range 208–255). The largest driver is player on-court impact (2.0 points toward MEM).

Matchup

New Orleans Pelicans rank 20 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (−2.3 points against an average opponent, about 33 projected wins in 2026-27); Memphis Grizzlies rank 21 (−2.3, about 36 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 0.0 points to Memphis Grizzlies; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 1.4-point margin above. A 55% win probability means Memphis Grizzlies should win about 5 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.

What drives the projection

• Home court: +0.6 (MEM margin)
• Player box-score production: −1.9 (MEM margin)
• Player on-court impact: +2.0 (MEM margin)
• Rest, travel & altitude: +0.7 (MEM margin)

Rest and travel

NOP: 1 day(s) of rest, 359 miles of travel. MEM: 1 day(s) of rest.

Projected minutes

NOP: Trey Murphy III 29, Dejounte Murray 27, Zion Williamson 27, Saddiq Bey 21, Jeremiah Fears 21, Derik Queen 21, Jordan Poole 16, Bennedict Mathurin 16, Herbert Jones 15.

MEM: Ty Jerome 30, Cameron Boozer 26, Cedric Coward 24, Jaylen Wells 24, Jerami Grant 20, Scotty Pippen Jr. 18, Cam Spencer 17, Quinten Post 16, Isaiah Stewart 15.

Four factors

All NBA predictions for Nov 2, 2026 · Memphis Grizzlies · New Orleans Pelicans · Scorecard

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.