Pistons vs Hornets Prediction, Projected Score & Pick
Detroit Pistons at Charlotte Hornets · Mon, Nov 2, 2026
HoopVantage's Nov 2, 2026 prediction: Detroit Pistons over the Hornets by 3.9 points, a 63% win probability, with a projected final of Pistons 114, Hornets 110 (total 224.4).
The model projects Detroit Pistons to win by 3.9 points (63% win probability), projected score CHA 110, DET 114, total 224.4 (80% range 201–248). The largest driver is player box-score production (2.8 points toward DET).
Matchup
Detroit Pistons rank 4 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (+3.6 points against an average opponent, about 52 projected wins in 2026-27); Charlotte Hornets rank 19 (−1.5, about 39 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 5.1 points to Detroit Pistons; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 3.9-point margin above. A 63% win probability means Detroit Pistons should win about 6 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.
What drives the projection
- Home court: +0.6 (CHA margin)
- Player box-score production: −2.8 (CHA margin)
- Player on-court impact: −1.9 (CHA margin)
- Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): −0.4 (CHA margin)
- Rest, travel & altitude: +0.6 (CHA margin)
Rest and travel
DET: 2 day(s) of rest, 531 miles of travel. CHA: 1 day(s) of rest, third game in four nights.
Projected minutes
DET: Cade Cunningham 31, Duncan Robinson 26, John Collins 25, Daniss Jenkins 23, Kevin Huerter 19, Paul Reed 18, Jalen Duren 16, Ausar Thompson 16, Javonte Green 15.
CHA: Dennis Schroder 28, Brandon Miller 28, Naz Reid 27, Grayson Allen 26, Sion James 24, Moussa Diabate 23, Ryan Kalkbrenner 16, Royce O'Neale 14, Kon Knueppel 14.
Four factors
| DET (2025-26) | CHA (2025-26) | |
|---|---|---|
| ORtg | 114.4 | 115.7 |
| DRtg | 106.5 | 110.9 |
| Pace | 102.3 | 99.9 |
| eFG% | 54.6% | 55.2% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 30.5% |
| FT rate | 0.292 | 0.244 |
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 54.0% |
All NBA predictions for Nov 2, 2026 · Charlotte Hornets · Detroit Pistons · Scorecard
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.