Rockets vs Suns Prediction, Projected Score & Pick

Houston Rockets at Phoenix Suns · Sat, Nov 7, 2026

HoopVantage's Nov 7, 2026 prediction: Houston Rockets over the Suns by 3.8 points, a 63% win probability, with a projected final of Rockets 115, Suns 112 (total 226.8).

The model projects Houston Rockets to win by 3.8 points (63% win probability), projected score PHX 112, HOU 115, total 226.8 (80% range 203–250). The largest driver is player box-score production (2.4 points toward HOU).

Matchup

Houston Rockets rank 6 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (+3.5 points against an average opponent, about 52 projected wins in 2026-27); Phoenix Suns rank 18 (−1.5, about 38 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 5.0 points to Houston Rockets; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 3.8-point margin above. A 63% win probability means Houston Rockets should win about 6 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.

What drives the projection

• Home court: +0.6 (PHX margin)
• Player box-score production: −2.4 (PHX margin)
• Player on-court impact: −2.4 (PHX margin)
• Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): −0.3 (PHX margin)
• Rest, travel & altitude: +0.6 (PHX margin)

Rest and travel

HOU: 2 day(s) of rest, 1,015 miles of travel. PHX: 1 day(s) of rest, third game in four nights.

Projected minutes

HOU: Amen Thompson 32, Alperen Sengun 32, Kevin Durant 30, Jabari Smith Jr. 29, Reed Sheppard 22, Fred VanVleet 19, Tari Eason 18, Marcus Smart 15, Bogdan Bogdanovic 13.

PHX: Devin Booker 29, Dillon Brooks 28, Miles Bridges 28, Khaman Maluach 27, Jalen Green 24, Collin Gillespie 21, Luke Kennard 19, Jordan Goodwin 18, Ryan Dunn 12.

Four factors

All NBA predictions for Nov 7, 2026 · Phoenix Suns · Houston Rockets · Scorecard

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.