Spurs vs Kings Prediction, Projected Score & Pick

San Antonio Spurs at Sacramento Kings · Fri, Nov 6, 2026 · NBA Cup - Group Play

HoopVantage's Nov 6, 2026 prediction: San Antonio Spurs over the Kings by 13.0 points, a 86% win probability, with a projected final of Spurs 121, Kings 108 (total 228.0).

The model projects San Antonio Spurs to win by 13.0 points (86% win probability), projected score SAC 108, SAS 121, total 228.0 (80% range 205–252). The largest driver is player on-court impact (6.4 points toward SAS).

Matchup

San Antonio Spurs rank 1 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (+7.3 points against an average opponent, about 59 projected wins in 2026-27); Sacramento Kings rank 30 (−6.5, about 24 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 13.8 points to San Antonio Spurs; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 13.0-point margin above. A 86% win probability means San Antonio Spurs should win about 9 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.

What drives the projection

• Home court: +0.6 (SAC margin)
• Player box-score production: −4.7 (SAC margin)
• Player on-court impact: −6.4 (SAC margin)
• Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): −2.9 (SAC margin)
• Rest, travel & altitude: +0.4 (SAC margin)

Rest and travel

SAS: 1 day(s) of rest, 1,459 miles of travel. SAC: 1 day(s) of rest.

Projected minutes

SAS: Devin Vassell 29, Victor Wembanyama 28, De'Aaron Fox 27, Tobias Harris 27, Dylan Harper 27, Stephon Castle 26, Julian Champagnie 24, Keldon Johnson 18, Luke Kornet 12.

SAC: Domantas Sabonis 33, Zach LaVine 32, Precious Achiuwa 30, Darius Acuff Jr. 29, De'Andre Hunter 23, Keegan Murray 16, Daeqwon Plowden 16, Emanuel Sharp 13, Malik Monk 12.

Four factors

All NBA predictions for Nov 6, 2026 · Sacramento Kings · San Antonio Spurs · Scorecard

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.