Spurs vs Suns Prediction, Projected Score & Pick

San Antonio Spurs at Phoenix Suns · Mon, Nov 9, 2026

HoopVantage's Nov 9, 2026 prediction: San Antonio Spurs over the Suns by 6.6 points, a 71% win probability, with a projected final of Spurs 117, Suns 110 (total 227.4).

The model projects San Antonio Spurs to win by 6.6 points (71% win probability), projected score PHX 110, SAS 117, total 227.4 (80% range 204–251). The largest driver is player on-court impact (4.2 points toward SAS).

Matchup

San Antonio Spurs rank 1 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (+7.3 points against an average opponent, about 59 projected wins in 2026-27); Phoenix Suns rank 18 (−1.5, about 38 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 8.8 points to San Antonio Spurs; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 6.6-point margin above. A 71% win probability means San Antonio Spurs should win about 7 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.

What drives the projection

• Home court: +0.6 (PHX margin)
• Player box-score production: −3.0 (PHX margin)
• Player on-court impact: −4.2 (PHX margin)
• Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): −1.7 (PHX margin)
• Rest, travel & altitude: +1.6 (PHX margin)

Rest and travel

SAS: 1 day(s) of rest, third game in four nights, 1,006 miles of travel. PHX: 1 day(s) of rest.

Projected minutes

SAS: Devin Vassell 29, Victor Wembanyama 28, De'Aaron Fox 27, Tobias Harris 27, Dylan Harper 27, Stephon Castle 26, Julian Champagnie 24, Keldon Johnson 18, Luke Kornet 12.

PHX: Devin Booker 29, Dillon Brooks 28, Miles Bridges 28, Khaman Maluach 27, Jalen Green 24, Collin Gillespie 21, Luke Kennard 19, Jordan Goodwin 18, Ryan Dunn 12.

Four factors

All NBA predictions for Nov 9, 2026 · Phoenix Suns · San Antonio Spurs · Scorecard

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.