Suns vs Warriors Prediction, Projected Score & Pick

Phoenix Suns at Golden State Warriors · Mon, Nov 2, 2026

HoopVantage's Nov 2, 2026 prediction: Phoenix Suns over the Warriors by 2.2 points, a 57% win probability, with a projected final of Suns 115, Warriors 113 (total 228.2).

The model projects Phoenix Suns to win by 2.2 points (57% win probability), projected score GSW 113, PHX 115, total 228.2 (80% range 205–252). The largest driver is rest, travel & altitude (1.8 points toward PHX).

Matchup

Phoenix Suns rank 18 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (−1.5 points against an average opponent, about 38 projected wins in 2026-27); Golden State Warriors rank 22 (−2.7, about 33 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 1.2 points to Phoenix Suns; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 2.2-point margin above. A 57% win probability means Phoenix Suns should win about 6 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.

What drives the projection

• Home court: +0.6 (GSW margin)
• Player box-score production: +0.1 (GSW margin)
• Player on-court impact: −0.6 (GSW margin)
• Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): −0.6 (GSW margin)
• Rest, travel & altitude: −1.8 (GSW margin)

Rest and travel

PHX: 2 day(s) of rest, 651 miles of travel. GSW: second night of a back-to-back, third game in four nights.

Projected minutes

PHX: Devin Booker 29, Dillon Brooks 28, Miles Bridges 28, Khaman Maluach 27, Jalen Green 24, Collin Gillespie 21, Luke Kennard 19, Jordan Goodwin 18, Ryan Dunn 12.

GSW: Yaxel Lendeborg 31, Gui Santos 23, De'Anthony Melton 22, Brandin Podziemski 20, Georges Niang 19, Brandon Williams 17, Will Richard 17, Draymond Green 17, Stephen Curry 16.

Four factors

All NBA predictions for Nov 2, 2026 · Golden State Warriors · Phoenix Suns · Scorecard

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.