Timberwolves vs Pelicans Prediction, Projected Score & Pick

Minnesota Timberwolves at New Orleans Pelicans · Fri, Nov 6, 2026 · NBA Cup - Group Play

HoopVantage's Nov 6, 2026 prediction: Minnesota Timberwolves over the Pelicans by 2.6 points, a 58% win probability, with a projected final of Timberwolves 116, Pelicans 114 (total 230.1).

The model projects Minnesota Timberwolves to win by 2.6 points (58% win probability), projected score NOP 114, MIN 116, total 230.1 (80% range 207–254). The largest driver is player on-court impact (2.6 points toward MIN).

Matchup

Minnesota Timberwolves rank 11 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (+2.0 points against an average opponent, about 47 projected wins in 2026-27); New Orleans Pelicans rank 20 (−2.3, about 33 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 4.3 points to Minnesota Timberwolves; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 2.6-point margin above. A 58% win probability means Minnesota Timberwolves should win about 6 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.

What drives the projection

• Home court: +0.6 (NOP margin)
• Player on-court impact: −2.6 (NOP margin)
• Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): −1.8 (NOP margin)
• Rest, travel & altitude: +1.2 (NOP margin)

Rest and travel

MIN: 1 day(s) of rest, 317 miles of travel. NOP: 1 day(s) of rest.

Projected minutes

MIN: Anthony Edwards 32, Rudy Gobert 31, Jaden McDaniels 27, Ayo Dosunmu 27, LaMelo Ball 24, Jonathan Kuminga 24, Terrence Shannon Jr. 22, Trey Lyles 14, Joan Beringer 12.

NOP: Trey Murphy III 29, Dejounte Murray 27, Zion Williamson 27, Saddiq Bey 21, Jeremiah Fears 21, Derik Queen 21, Jordan Poole 16, Bennedict Mathurin 16, Herbert Jones 15.

Four factors

All NBA predictions for Nov 6, 2026 · New Orleans Pelicans · Minnesota Timberwolves · Scorecard

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.