Timberwolves vs Spurs Prediction, Projected Score & Pick
Minnesota Timberwolves at San Antonio Spurs · Sat, Oct 31, 2026
HoopVantage's Oct 31, 2026 prediction: San Antonio Spurs over the Timberwolves by 9.2 points, a 78% win probability, with a projected final of Timberwolves 109, Spurs 118 (total 227.4).
The model projects San Antonio Spurs to win by 9.2 points (78% win probability), projected score SAS 118, MIN 109, total 227.4 (80% range 204–251). The largest driver is rest, travel & altitude (3.2 points toward SAS).
Matchup
Minnesota Timberwolves rank 11 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (+2.0 points against an average opponent, about 47 projected wins in 2026-27); San Antonio Spurs rank 1 (+7.3, about 59 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 5.3 points to San Antonio Spurs; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 9.2-point margin above. A 78% win probability means San Antonio Spurs should win about 8 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.
What drives the projection
- Home court: +0.6 (SAS margin)
- Player box-score production: +1.5 (SAS margin)
- Player on-court impact: +3.0 (SAS margin)
- Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): +0.9 (SAS margin)
- Rest, travel & altitude: +3.2 (SAS margin)
Rest and travel
MIN: second night of a back-to-back, third game in four nights, 1,111 miles of travel. SAS: 2 day(s) of rest, 1,090 miles of travel.
Projected minutes
MIN: Anthony Edwards 32, Rudy Gobert 31, Jaden McDaniels 27, Ayo Dosunmu 27, LaMelo Ball 24, Jonathan Kuminga 24, Terrence Shannon Jr. 22, Trey Lyles 14, Joan Beringer 12.
SAS: Devin Vassell 29, Victor Wembanyama 28, De'Aaron Fox 27, Tobias Harris 27, Dylan Harper 27, Stephon Castle 26, Julian Champagnie 24, Keldon Johnson 18, Luke Kornet 12.
Four factors
| MIN (2025-26) | SAS (2025-26) | |
|---|---|---|
| ORtg | 113.8 | 116.6 |
| DRtg | 110.5 | 108.7 |
| Pace | 103.2 | 102.5 |
| eFG% | 55.9% | 55.8% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 13.0% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 26.3% |
| FT rate | 0.285 | 0.273 |
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 52.2% |
All NBA predictions for Oct 31, 2026 · San Antonio Spurs · Minnesota Timberwolves · Scorecard
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.