Trail Blazers vs Jazz Prediction, Projected Score & Pick
Portland Trail Blazers at Utah Jazz · Sat, Oct 31, 2026
HoopVantage's Oct 31, 2026 prediction: Portland Trail Blazers over the Jazz by 3.3 points, a 61% win probability, with a projected final of Trail Blazers 117, Jazz 114 (total 230.4).
The model projects Portland Trail Blazers to win by 3.3 points (61% win probability), projected score UTA 114, POR 117, total 230.4 (80% range 207–254). The largest driver is player on-court impact (2.4 points toward POR).
Matchup
Portland Trail Blazers rank 14 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (+1.3 points against an average opponent, about 44 projected wins in 2026-27); Utah Jazz rank 24 (−4.2, about 31 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 5.5 points to Portland Trail Blazers; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 3.3-point margin above. A 61% win probability means Portland Trail Blazers should win about 6 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.
What drives the projection
- Home court: +0.6 (UTA margin)
- Player box-score production: −1.1 (UTA margin)
- Player on-court impact: −2.4 (UTA margin)
- Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): −2.0 (UTA margin)
- Rest, travel & altitude: +1.5 (UTA margin)
Rest and travel
POR: 1 day(s) of rest, 634 miles of travel, at altitude. UTA: 2 day(s) of rest.
Projected minutes
POR: Deni Avdija 28, Damian Lillard 27, Jrue Holiday 25, Ja Morant 24, Toumani Camara 24, Donovan Clingan 22, Sidy Cissoko 21, Scoot Henderson 20, Robert Williams III 18.
UTA: Lauri Markkanen 32, Jaren Jackson Jr. 28, Jaxson Hayes 26, Keyonte George 25, Darryn Peterson 24, Ace Bailey 21, Brice Sensabaugh 16, Svi Mykhailiuk 15, Isaiah Collier 14.
Four factors
| POR (2025-26) | UTA (2025-26) | |
|---|---|---|
| ORtg | 111 | 111.3 |
| DRtg | 111.3 | 119.2 |
| Pace | 103.6 | 104.9 |
| eFG% | 53.4% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 26.2% |
| FT rate | 0.280 | 0.277 |
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 57.8% |
All NBA predictions for Oct 31, 2026 · Utah Jazz · Portland Trail Blazers · Scorecard
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.