Trail Blazers vs Suns Prediction, Projected Score & Pick
Portland Trail Blazers at Phoenix Suns · Wed, Nov 4, 2026
HoopVantage's Nov 4, 2026 prediction: Portland Trail Blazers over the Suns by 1.6 points, a 55% win probability, with a projected final of Trail Blazers 115, Suns 113 (total 227.5).
The model projects Portland Trail Blazers to win by 1.6 points (55% win probability), projected score PHX 113, POR 115, total 227.5 (80% range 204–251). The largest driver is player box-score production (1.0 points toward POR).
Matchup
Portland Trail Blazers rank 14 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (+1.3 points against an average opponent, about 44 projected wins in 2026-27); Phoenix Suns rank 18 (−1.5, about 38 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 2.8 points to Portland Trail Blazers; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 1.6-point margin above. A 55% win probability means Portland Trail Blazers should win about 6 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.
What drives the projection
- Home court: +0.6 (PHX margin)
- Player box-score production: −1.0 (PHX margin)
- Player on-court impact: −0.9 (PHX margin)
- Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): −0.9 (PHX margin)
- Rest, travel & altitude: +0.7 (PHX margin)
Rest and travel
POR: 1 day(s) of rest, 585 miles of travel. PHX: 1 day(s) of rest, 651 miles of travel.
Projected minutes
POR: Deni Avdija 28, Damian Lillard 27, Jrue Holiday 25, Ja Morant 24, Toumani Camara 24, Donovan Clingan 22, Sidy Cissoko 21, Scoot Henderson 20, Robert Williams III 18.
PHX: Devin Booker 29, Dillon Brooks 28, Miles Bridges 28, Khaman Maluach 27, Jalen Green 24, Collin Gillespie 21, Luke Kennard 19, Jordan Goodwin 18, Ryan Dunn 12.
Four factors
| POR (2025-26) | PHX (2025-26) | |
|---|---|---|
| ORtg | 111 | 112.1 |
| DRtg | 111.3 | 110.6 |
| Pace | 103.6 | 100.1 |
| eFG% | 53.4% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 28.9% |
| FT rate | 0.280 | 0.225 |
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 54.1% |
All NBA predictions for Nov 4, 2026 · Phoenix Suns · Portland Trail Blazers · Scorecard
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.