Wizards vs Magic Prediction, Projected Score & Pick
Washington Wizards at Orlando Magic · Mon, Nov 2, 2026
HoopVantage's Nov 2, 2026 prediction: Orlando Magic over the Wizards by 4.4 points, a 64% win probability, with a projected final of Wizards 113, Magic 118 (total 231.1).
The model projects Orlando Magic to win by 4.4 points (64% win probability), projected score ORL 118, WAS 113, total 231.1 (80% range 208–255). The largest driver is player on-court impact (3.4 points toward ORL).
Matchup
Washington Wizards rank 27 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (−4.9 points against an average opponent, about 30 projected wins in 2026-27); Orlando Magic rank 16 (0.0, about 41 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 4.9 points to Orlando Magic; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 4.4-point margin above. A 64% win probability means Orlando Magic should win about 6 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.
What drives the projection
- Home court: +0.6 (ORL margin)
- Player box-score production: +0.6 (ORL margin)
- Player on-court impact: +3.4 (ORL margin)
- Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): +1.0 (ORL margin)
- Rest, travel & altitude: −1.2 (ORL margin)
Rest and travel
WAS: 2 day(s) of rest, 758 miles of travel. ORL: second night of a back-to-back, third game in four nights.
Projected minutes
WAS: Trae Young 33, Anthony Davis 30, Kyshawn George 27, Bilal Coulibaly 25, Tre Johnson 22, Justin Champagnie 22, Alex Sarr 19, Bub Carrington 18, Deandre Ayton 13.
ORL: Franz Wagner 33, Jalen Suggs 29, Wendell Carter Jr. 28, Desmond Bane 28, Tristan da Silva 27, Anthony Black 23, Paolo Banchero 22, Jamal Cain 14, Jase Richardson 12.
Four factors
| WAS (2025-26) | ORL (2025-26) | |
|---|---|---|
| ORtg | 108.1 | 112 |
| DRtg | 119.6 | 111.3 |
| Pace | 104 | 102.6 |
| eFG% | 53.5% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 13.7% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 25.0% |
| FT rate | 0.235 | 0.311 |
| Opp eFG% | 56.3% | 54.5% |
All NBA predictions for Nov 2, 2026 · Orlando Magic · Washington Wizards · Scorecard
Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.