Wizards vs Pistons Prediction, Projected Score & Pick

Washington Wizards at Detroit Pistons · Mon, Nov 9, 2026

HoopVantage's Nov 9, 2026 prediction: Detroit Pistons over the Wizards by 9.1 points, a 78% win probability, with a projected final of Wizards 110, Pistons 119 (total 228.9).

The model projects Detroit Pistons to win by 9.1 points (78% win probability), projected score DET 119, WAS 110, total 228.9 (80% range 205–253). The largest driver is player on-court impact (5.0 points toward DET).

Matchup

Washington Wizards rank 27 of 30 in the HoopVantage power rating (−4.9 points against an average opponent, about 30 projected wins in 2026-27); Detroit Pistons rank 4 (+3.6, about 52 wins). On a neutral floor that gap is worth 8.5 points to Detroit Pistons; home court, rest, travel and the projected rotations move it to the 9.1-point margin above. A 78% win probability means Detroit Pistons should win about 8 of 10 games like this one, so the other side winning is a normal outcome, not an upset of the model.

What drives the projection

• Home court: +0.6 (DET margin)
• Player box-score production: +1.6 (DET margin)
• Player on-court impact: +5.0 (DET margin)
• Team efficiency (opponent-adjusted): +2.0 (DET margin)
• Rest, travel & altitude: −0.1 (DET margin)

Rest and travel

WAS: 1 day(s) of rest, third game in four nights, 909 miles of travel. DET: second night of a back-to-back.

Projected minutes

WAS: Trae Young 33, Anthony Davis 30, Kyshawn George 27, Bilal Coulibaly 25, Tre Johnson 22, Justin Champagnie 22, Alex Sarr 19, Bub Carrington 18, Deandre Ayton 13.

DET: Cade Cunningham 31, Duncan Robinson 26, John Collins 25, Daniss Jenkins 23, Kevin Huerter 19, Paul Reed 18, Jalen Duren 16, Ausar Thompson 16, Javonte Green 15.

Four factors

All NBA predictions for Nov 9, 2026 · Detroit Pistons · Washington Wizards · Scorecard

Projections are statistical estimates for entertainment and analysis only. Nothing here guarantees any result.